South-Korea · K League 1

Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

Gwangju FC 1.0% Draw 5.1% FC Seoul 93.9%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 30%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

94%

Draw No Bet - Away

DNB away — draw refunds stake

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 14.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Seoul: 3 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.1%

Exact-score model probability

Gwangju FC

L D L L D D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Seoul

W W D D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 15:6 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Gwangju FC 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Seoul 1wins

Gwangju FC 0-1 FC SeoulMay 12, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gwangju FC win1.0%

Draw5.1%

FC Seoul win93.9%

Over 1.5 goals92.3%

Over 2.5 goals78.6%

Over 3.5 goals59.7%

Both teams to score30.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.5%

Away Over 1.5

87.8%

HT Over 0.5

84.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.7%

Draw or Away (X2)97.1%

Home or Away (12)93.8%

Away Win92.6%

Both Halves Over 0.576.4%

Goal in Both Halves76.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.3%

Home or Draw (1X)5.7%

Draw4.5%

Draw No Bet - Home1.3%

Home Win1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals90.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.3%

Under 5.5 Goals77.0%

Under 4.5 Goals60.7%

Over 3.5 Goals58.7%

4+ Goals58.7%

2-4 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Under 3.5 Goals41.3%

Over 4.5 Goals39.3%

1-3 Goals38.1%

3-4 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals31.8%

Over 5.5 Goals23.0%

Under 2.5 Goals22.7%

1-2 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals18.5%

Exactly 2 Goals13.3%

Under 1.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.4%

Away Clean Sheet68.1%

Away Win to Nil66.6%

Home Team to Score30.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.6%

Home Clean Sheet2.2%

Home Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.2%

Away Over 1.587.8%

Away Over 2.571.9%

Away 3+ Goals71.9%

Home Exactly 068.1%

Home Over 0.530.3%

Home Exactly 125.0%

Away Exactly 215.9%

Away Exactly 18.3%

Home Over 1.55.2%

Home Exactly 24.6%

Away Exactly 02.2%

Home Over 2.50.6%

Home 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)92.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)84.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away81.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home71.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)64.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away64.5%

Away to win by 3+64.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)53.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home53.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away44.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home33.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)27.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away27.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 217.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home16.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away14.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw13.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.9%

Away to win by 110.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home5.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.0%

Home to win by 11.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 20.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.575.8%

Away & No BTTS66.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.549.8%

BTTS & Over 2.527.5%

Away & BTTS26.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.0%

Away & Under 2.516.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.6%

Draw & BTTS3.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Home & No BTTS0.7%

Home & Over 2.50.6%

Home & BTTS0.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.9%

HT Away Win77.1%

HT/FT Away/Away76.2%

HT Over 1.556.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.543.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw19.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.3%

HT Under 0.515.1%

HT Both Teams Score12.5%

HT Home Win3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.8%

HT/FT Home/Home0.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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