South-Korea · K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Gwangju FC 11.6% Draw 23.5% Pohang Steelers 64.9%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 44%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 14%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14%

Exact-score model probability

Gwangju FC

D L L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Pohang Steelers

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Gwangju FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Pohang Steelers 1wins

Gwangju FC 0-3 Pohang SteelersJul 11, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gwangju FC win11.6%

Draw23.5%

Pohang Steelers win64.9%

Over 1.5 goals74.9%

Over 2.5 goals48.6%

Over 3.5 goals26.8%

Both teams to score44.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.1%

Draw No Bet - Away83.8%

Home or Away (12)79.1%

Away Win66.2%

Both Halves Over 0.552.8%

Goal in Both Halves52.8%

Home or Draw (1X)33.8%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal19.1%

Draw No Bet - Home16.2%

Home Win12.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.0%

Over 0.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals73.6%

Under 3.5 Goals73.2%

1-3 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Over 3.5 Goals26.8%

4+ Goals26.8%

Under 1.5 Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 0 Goals7.3%

Over 5.5 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.0%

Home Team to Score50.4%

Away Clean Sheet49.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.0%

Away Win to Nil42.3%

Home Clean Sheet14.7%

Home Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.3%

Away Over 1.557.1%

Home Over 0.550.4%

Home Exactly 049.6%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Away Over 2.530.1%

Away 3+ Goals30.1%

Away Exactly 128.2%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Over 1.515.6%

Away Exactly 014.7%

Home Exactly 212.2%

Home Over 2.53.4%

Home 3+ Goals3.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)66.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home33.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.7%

Away to win by 125.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.5%

Away to win by 220.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.0%

Away to win by 3+20.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.4%

Home to win by 19.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.7%

Home to win by 22.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.7%

Home to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS42.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.541.6%

Away & Over 2.538.8%

BTTS & Over 2.533.2%

Away & Under 2.527.4%

Away & BTTS23.9%

Draw & Under 2.517.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.4%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Home & No BTTS7.4%

Home & Under 2.56.9%

Home & Over 2.55.9%

Home & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.53.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.2%

HT Under 1.567.1%

HT Away Win47.3%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT/FT Away/Away42.9%

HT Draw39.8%

HT Over 1.532.9%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.8%

HT Both Teams Score15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.7%

HT Home Win13.0%

HT/FT Home/Home6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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