South-Korea · K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kick-off 06:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Gwangju FC 6.5% Draw 11.9% Ulsan Hyundai FC 81.6%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Ulsan Hyundai FC: 3 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

Gwangju FC

D D L L D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Ulsan Hyundai FC

D W W L L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Gwangju FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Ulsan Hyundai FC 0wins

Gwangju FC 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai FCJul 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gwangju FC win6.5%

Draw11.9%

Ulsan Hyundai FC win81.6%

Over 1.5 goals93.3%

Over 2.5 goals80.0%

Over 3.5 goals61.9%

Both teams to score60.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

92.0%

Home or Away (12)

88.5%

HT Over 0.5

85.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.3%

Draw No Bet - Away92.1%

Home or Away (12)88.5%

Away Win81.5%

Both Halves Over 0.577.4%

Goal in Both Halves77.4%

Home or Draw (1X)17.7%

Draw10.7%

Draw No Bet - Home7.9%

Home Win7.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals92.0%

Over 2.5 Goals79.4%

Under 5.5 Goals74.5%

Over 3.5 Goals61.4%

4+ Goals61.4%

Under 4.5 Goals57.9%

2-4 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Over 4.5 Goals42.1%

Under 3.5 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals37.4%

1-3 Goals36.5%

2-3 Goals30.6%

Over 5.5 Goals25.5%

Under 2.5 Goals20.6%

1-2 Goals18.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals12.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score61.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.1%

Away Clean Sheet38.1%

Away Win to Nil36.8%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.583.8%

Away Over 2.564.0%

Away 3+ Goals64.0%

Home Over 0.561.1%

Home Exactly 038.1%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Home Over 1.524.7%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Home Exactly 217.5%

Away Exactly 111.9%

Home Over 2.57.2%

Home 3+ Goals7.2%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home72.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away64.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)54.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home54.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away44.9%

Away to win by 3+44.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)34.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home34.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away27.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 219.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 116.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.9%

Home to win by 14.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.6%

Home to win by 21.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.5%

Home to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.569.4%

BTTS & Over 2.554.6%

Away & BTTS44.8%

Away & No BTTS36.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.5%

Away & Under 2.512.2%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

Home & Over 2.55.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Home & BTTS4.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Home & No BTTS2.2%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.5%

HT Away Win64.1%

HT/FT Away/Away60.7%

HT Over 1.557.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score27.2%

HT Draw25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.6%

HT Under 0.514.5%

HT Home Win10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT/FT Home/Home3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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