Germany · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Kick-off 20:30 · Fri, Nov 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Hamburger SV 40.5% Draw 27.2% Borussia Mönchengladbach 32.3%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

76%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Hamburger SV: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Hamburger SV 0 wins, 2 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Hamburger SV

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

Borussia Mönchengladbach

D W L L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 8:15 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 2

Hamburger SV 0wins ·2 draws ·Borussia Mönchengladbach 0wins

Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachJan 17, 2026

Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachAug 24, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hamburger SV win40.5%

Draw27.2%

Borussia Mönchengladbach win32.3%

Over 1.5 goals75.5%

Over 2.5 goals96.9%

Over 3.5 goals28.1%

Both teams to score91.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

87.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Both Halves Over 0.579.8%

Goal in Both Halves79.8%

Home or Draw (1X)78.3%

Draw No Bet - Home74.1%

Home Win61.3%

Draw or Away (X2)38.4%

Draw No Bet - Away25.9%

Away Win21.4%

Draw17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.8%

Over 2.5 Goals82.8%

Under 5.5 Goals70.0%

Over 3.5 Goals66.1%

4+ Goals66.1%

Under 4.5 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals47.2%

2-4 Goals46.6%

3-4 Goals35.6%

Under 3.5 Goals33.9%

1-3 Goals32.6%

Over 5.5 Goals30.0%

2-3 Goals27.7%

Under 2.5 Goals17.2%

Exactly 3 Goals16.7%

1-2 Goals15.9%

Exactly 2 Goals11.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score81.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.4%

Home Clean Sheet18.3%

Home Win to Nil17.2%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Away Over 0.581.4%

Home Over 1.577.3%

Home Over 2.553.8%

Home 3+ Goals53.8%

Away Over 1.550.4%

Away Exactly 131.0%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Over 2.524.1%

Away 3+ Goals24.1%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 018.3%

Home Exactly 116.6%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away74.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.9%

Home to win by 3+24.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 111.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.8%

Away to win by 3+3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.5%

Home & Over 2.553.9%

Home & BTTS44.1%

Away & Over 2.518.1%

Home & No BTTS17.2%

Away & BTTS16.7%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

Home & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Away & No BTTS4.8%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.0%

HT Over 1.560.5%

HT Home Win48.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT/FT Home/Home41.6%

HT Under 1.539.5%

HT Both Teams Score38.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.1%

HT Away Win22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT Under 0.513.0%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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