UEFA Europa Conference League

Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

Hammarby FF 1.4% Draw 8.0% Raków Częstochowa 90.6%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 16.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Raków Częstochowa: 2 points versus 7 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16.6%

Exact-score model probability

Hammarby FF

D L D

Form 0-2-1 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Raków Częstochowa

D W W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 7:1 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.33

Head to head · last 1

Hammarby FF 0wins ·1 draws ·Raków Częstochowa 0wins

Hammarby FF 0-0 Raków CzęstochowaAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hammarby FF win1.4%

Draw8.0%

Raków Częstochowa win90.6%

Over 1.5 goals85.8%

Over 2.5 goals66.1%

Over 3.5 goals44.1%

Both teams to score25.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

Away Win

90.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.1%

Draw or Away (X2)97.8%

Home or Away (12)92.3%

Away Win90.6%

Both Halves Over 0.566.4%

Goal in Both Halves66.4%

Exactly 1 Goal11.3%

Home or Draw (1X)8.9%

Draw7.2%

Draw No Bet - Home1.9%

Home Win1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Under 5.5 Goals87.4%

Over 1.5 Goals85.0%

Under 4.5 Goals74.7%

Over 2.5 Goals65.8%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 3.5 Goals56.1%

1-3 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Over 3.5 Goals43.9%

4+ Goals43.9%

2-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals34.2%

1-2 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals25.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals15.0%

Over 5.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.4%

Away Clean Sheet73.7%

Away Win to Nil70.4%

Home Team to Score25.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.6%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 1.581.2%

Home Exactly 073.7%

Away Over 2.559.6%

Away 3+ Goals59.6%

Home Over 0.525.8%

Home Exactly 122.1%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Away Exactly 113.9%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)90.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home82.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)74.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away74.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home67.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)53.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away53.2%

Away to win by 3+53.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home46.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away32.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home24.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.6%

Away to win by 221.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away16.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw9.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home8.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away7.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.5%

Home to win by 11.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 20.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS70.4%

Away & Over 2.564.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.544.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.7%

Away & Under 2.526.2%

BTTS & Over 2.521.6%

Away & BTTS20.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.4%

Draw & BTTS3.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Home & No BTTS1.2%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Home & Over 2.50.6%

Home & BTTS0.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.5%

HT Away Win70.8%

HT/FT Away/Away69.7%

HT Under 1.554.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.4%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw25.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.8%

HT Both Teams Score9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT Home Win3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Home0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.8%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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