Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli

Kick-off 19:30 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Hannover 96 77.7% Draw 12.8% FC St. Pauli 9.5%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Hannover 96: 8 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Hannover 96

W W L L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

FC St. Pauli

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hannover 96 win77.7%

Draw12.8%

FC St. Pauli win9.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.6%

Over 2.5 goals85.4%

Over 3.5 goals70.0%

Both teams to score70.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.2%

Draw No Bet - Home88.7%

Home or Away (12)87.3%

Both Halves Over 0.582.0%

Goal in Both Halves82.0%

Home Win77.4%

Draw or Away (X2)21.6%

Draw11.7%

Draw No Bet - Away11.3%

Away Win9.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals84.6%

Over 3.5 Goals69.3%

4+ Goals69.3%

Under 5.5 Goals66.4%

Over 4.5 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals48.9%

2-4 Goals43.1%

Over 5.5 Goals33.6%

3-4 Goals33.5%

Under 3.5 Goals30.7%

1-3 Goals28.8%

2-3 Goals24.8%

Under 2.5 Goals15.4%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

1-2 Goals13.6%

Exactly 2 Goals9.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score71.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.4%

Home Clean Sheet27.3%

Home Win to Nil26.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.585.4%

Away Over 0.571.8%

Home Over 2.566.8%

Home 3+ Goals66.8%

Away Over 1.536.6%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Away Exactly 027.3%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Exactly 218.6%

Away Over 2.513.9%

Away 3+ Goals13.9%

Home Exactly 110.6%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home42.0%

Home to win by 3+42.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 116.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 16.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.4%

BTTS & Over 2.565.8%

Home & BTTS51.0%

Home & No BTTS26.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Away & Over 2.58.1%

Home & Under 2.58.0%

Away & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.4%

HT Over 1.563.4%

HT Home Win61.6%

HT/FT Home/Home57.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Under 1.536.6%

HT Both Teams Score34.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT Away Win13.5%

HT Under 0.511.6%

HT/FT Away/Away5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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