UEFA Champions League

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Kick-off 18:30 · Tue, Aug 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

97% confidence

Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.5% Draw 3.0% FK Crvena Zvezda 96.5%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 29%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 53%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 13.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.4%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

53%

Market does not fully agree

Hapoel Beer Sheva

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:2 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

FK Crvena Zvezda

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 9:0 Scored/game 4.5 Conceded/game 0

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hapoel Beer Sheva win0.5%

Draw3.0%

FK Crvena Zvezda win96.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.4%

Over 2.5 goals85.6%

Over 3.5 goals70.0%

Both teams to score29.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.4%

Away Over 1.5

89.9%

HT Over 0.5

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away99.3%

Draw or Away (X2)95.3%

Home or Away (12)93.4%

Away Win92.8%

Both Halves Over 0.582.5%

Goal in Both Halves82.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Home or Draw (1X)3.2%

Draw2.6%

Draw No Bet - Home0.7%

Home Win0.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.4%

Over 2.5 Goals82.1%

Under 5.5 Goals68.3%

Over 3.5 Goals67.2%

4+ Goals67.2%

Under 4.5 Goals50.8%

Over 4.5 Goals49.2%

Total Goals Even48.4%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

2-4 Goals42.2%

3-4 Goals33.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.8%

Over 5.5 Goals31.7%

1-3 Goals28.0%

2-3 Goals24.1%

Under 2.5 Goals17.9%

Exactly 3 Goals14.9%

1-2 Goals13.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals8.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)72.3%

Away Clean Sheet68.0%

Away Win to Nil67.2%

Home Team to Score28.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)27.7%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Exactly 068.0%

Home Over 0.528.0%

Home Exactly 123.4%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Home Over 1.54.6%

Home Exactly 24.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Home Over 2.50.5%

Home 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)92.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away85.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)74.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away72.7%

Away to win by 3+72.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home58.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away55.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home40.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away37.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home23.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away21.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw18.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw15.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 213.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 17.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home3.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.5%

Home to win by 10.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.581.3%

Away & No BTTS67.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.555.7%

BTTS & Over 2.526.5%

Away & BTTS25.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.6%

Away & Under 2.511.5%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

Draw & BTTS1.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Home & Over 2.50.3%

Home & Under 2.50.3%

Home & BTTS0.3%

Home & No BTTS0.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Away Win82.6%

HT/FT Away/Away82.0%

HT Over 1.564.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Under 1.536.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT Draw15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%

HT Both Teams Score12.5%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT Home Win2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.3%

HT/FT Home/Home0.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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