UEFA Europa Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv 51.4% Draw 24.2% Atalanta 24.4%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atalanta: 8 points versus 9 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv

D L W D W

Form 2-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 0.8

Atalanta

W D D L W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0wins ·1 draws ·Atalanta 0wins

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 AtalantaAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hapoel Tel Aviv win51.4%

Draw24.2%

Atalanta win24.4%

Over 1.5 goals85.9%

Over 2.5 goals64.8%

Over 3.5 goals42.8%

Both teams to score65.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.3%

Home or Draw (1X)74.3%

Draw No Bet - Home67.2%

Both Halves Over 0.565.4%

Goal in Both Halves65.4%

Home Win52.6%

Draw or Away (X2)47.4%

Draw No Bet - Away32.8%

Away Win25.7%

Draw21.7%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.6%

Under 4.5 Goals75.6%

Over 2.5 Goals64.8%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.2%

1-3 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.8%

4+ Goals42.8%

2-3 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.2%

1-2 Goals31.6%

Over 4.5 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.8%

Under 1.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.4%

Away Team to Score73.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.1%

Home Clean Sheet26.1%

Home Win to Nil22.5%

Away Clean Sheet13.6%

Away Win to Nil10.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.4%

Away Over 0.573.9%

Home Over 1.559.3%

Away Over 1.538.9%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Home Over 2.532.2%

Home 3+ Goals32.2%

Home Exactly 127.1%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 026.1%

Away Exactly 223.5%

Away Over 2.515.3%

Away 3+ Goals15.3%

Home Exactly 013.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.9%

Home to win by 121.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.8%

Home to win by 3+14.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.7%

Away to win by 114.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 27.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.8%

Away to win by 3+3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.4%

Home & Over 2.538.5%

Home & BTTS30.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.6%

Home & No BTTS22.5%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Away & Over 2.517.7%

Away & BTTS15.7%

Home & Under 2.514.1%

Draw & Under 2.513.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Away & No BTTS10.0%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

Away & Under 2.58.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.3%

HT Home Win40.5%

HT Draw36.1%

HT/FT Home/Home33.3%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.9%

HT Away Win23.4%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT/FT Away/Away14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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