UEFA Europa League

Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica

Kick-off 19:45 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Heart Of Midlothian 40.7% Draw 16.8% Benfica 42.5%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-3 at 5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Benfica: 3 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Heart Of Midlothian

W L L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 7:17 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.83

Benfica

D W W L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 19:8 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Heart Of Midlothian 0wins ·0 draws ·Benfica 1wins

Heart Of Midlothian 1-6 BenficaAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Heart Of Midlothian win40.7%

Draw16.8%

Benfica win42.5%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.2%

Over 3.5 goals87.8%

Both teams to score92.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.7%

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.5%

Goal in Both Halves91.5%

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Draw or Away (X2)58.5%

Home or Draw (1X)56.6%

Draw No Bet - Away51.1%

Draw No Bet - Home48.9%

Away Win42.3%

Home Win40.4%

Draw16.1%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals97.6%

Over 2.5 Goals94.2%

Over 3.5 Goals86.8%

4+ Goals86.8%

Over 4.5 Goals75.1%

Over 5.5 Goals60.2%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals39.8%

Under 4.5 Goals24.9%

2-4 Goals22.5%

3-4 Goals19.1%

Under 3.5 Goals13.2%

1-3 Goals11.9%

2-3 Goals10.8%

Exactly 3 Goals7.3%

Under 2.5 Goals5.8%

1-2 Goals4.5%

Exactly 2 Goals3.5%

Under 1.5 Goals2.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score94.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.2%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil4.1%

Home Clean Sheet4.0%

Home Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 0.594.7%

Away Over 1.582.1%

Home Over 1.581.3%

Away Over 2.561.5%

Away 3+ Goals61.5%

Home Over 2.560.2%

Home 3+ Goals60.2%

Home Exactly 221.1%

Away Exactly 220.6%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Away Exactly 112.8%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Away Exactly 04.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)71.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home71.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.7%

Away to win by 3+15.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.5%

Home to win by 3+14.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.7%

Away to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 211.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.1%

Away & Over 2.540.9%

Home & Over 2.539.0%

Away & BTTS38.3%

Home & BTTS36.6%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Draw & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.1%

Away & No BTTS4.1%

Home & No BTTS3.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Home & Under 2.51.4%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.3%

HT Over 1.578.0%

HT Both Teams Score58.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT Away Win38.2%

HT Home Win36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away27.8%

HT/FT Home/Home26.4%

HT Draw24.9%

HT Under 1.522.0%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.5%

HT Under 0.55.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners90.2%

Under 10.5 Corners83.5%

Under 9.5 Corners74.1%

Under 8.5 Corners62.0%

Home Most Corners45.6%

Away Most Corners39.9%

Over 8.5 Corners38.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners37.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners33.2%

Over 9.5 Corners25.9%

Over 10.5 Corners16.5%

Over 11.5 Corners9.8%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.3%

Under 5.5 Cards73.7%

Over 3.5 Cards62.3%

Under 4.5 Cards57.0%

Over 4.5 Cards43.0%

Under 3.5 Cards37.7%

Over 5.5 Cards26.3%

Under 2.5 Cards19.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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