Scotland · Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Heart Of Midlothian 69.3% Draw 19.1% Dundee 11.6%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Heart Of Midlothian: 9 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Heart Of Midlothian

W D D D W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Dundee

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Heart Of Midlothian 4wins ·0 draws ·Dundee 1wins

Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 DundeeMar 21, 2026

Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 DundeeJan 11, 2026

Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 DundeeNov 1, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian 0-1 DundeeApr 26, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian 6-0 DundeeFeb 1, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Heart Of Midlothian win69.3%

Draw19.1%

Dundee win11.6%

Over 1.5 goals79.2%

Over 2.5 goals56.1%

Over 3.5 goals33.7%

Both teams to score81.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.0%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.2%

Draw No Bet - Home87.0%

Home or Away (12)86.2%

Both Halves Over 0.578.5%

Goal in Both Halves78.5%

Home Win75.0%

Draw or Away (X2)24.5%

Draw13.3%

Draw No Bet - Away13.0%

Away Win11.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals92.8%

Over 2.5 Goals80.9%

Under 5.5 Goals72.6%

Over 3.5 Goals63.4%

4+ Goals63.4%

Under 4.5 Goals55.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-4 Goals48.6%

Over 4.5 Goals44.2%

3-4 Goals36.7%

Under 3.5 Goals36.6%

1-3 Goals34.8%

2-3 Goals29.4%

Over 5.5 Goals27.4%

Under 2.5 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.4%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals7.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.7%

Home Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Win to Nil28.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.581.9%

Away Over 0.570.2%

Home Over 2.560.8%

Home 3+ Goals60.8%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.534.5%

Away Exactly 029.2%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 221.1%

Home Exactly 113.3%

Away Over 2.512.5%

Away 3+ Goals12.5%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away42.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.3%

Home to win by 3+37.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 219.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 17.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 22.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.564.9%

BTTS & Over 2.562.5%

Home & BTTS47.0%

Home & No BTTS28.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.8%

Draw & BTTS12.0%

Home & Under 2.510.1%

Away & Over 2.58.8%

Away & BTTS8.3%

Draw & Over 2.57.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Over 1.558.8%

HT Home Win58.6%

HT/FT Home/Home53.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.2%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score32.2%

HT Draw27.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Away Win14.3%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT/FT Away/Away6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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