Scotland · Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Heart Of Midlothian 64.4% Draw 22.0% Dundee Utd 13.6%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Dundee Utd: 3 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Heart Of Midlothian 3 wins, 1 draws, Dundee Utd 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Heart Of Midlothian

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 6:17 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.83

Dundee Utd

D D D L L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Heart Of Midlothian 3wins ·1 draws ·Dundee Utd 1wins

Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Dundee UtdJan 31, 2026

Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Dundee UtdNov 9, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian 3-2 Dundee UtdAug 10, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian 0-1 Dundee UtdApr 6, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Dundee UtdJan 5, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Heart Of Midlothian win64.4%

Draw22.0%

Dundee Utd win13.6%

Over 1.5 goals74.6%

Over 2.5 goals49.4%

Over 3.5 goals27.5%

Both teams to score82.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.4%

HT Over 0.5

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.8%

Home or Away (12)85.5%

Draw No Bet - Home84.1%

Both Halves Over 0.581.2%

Goal in Both Halves81.2%

Home Win71.9%

Draw or Away (X2)27.5%

Draw No Bet - Away15.9%

Draw13.8%

Away Win13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals94.2%

Over 2.5 Goals84.1%

Over 3.5 Goals68.3%

4+ Goals68.3%

Under 5.5 Goals67.6%

Under 4.5 Goals50.2%

Over 4.5 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

2-4 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals34.3%

Over 5.5 Goals32.4%

Under 3.5 Goals31.7%

1-3 Goals30.2%

2-3 Goals25.9%

Under 2.5 Goals15.9%

Exactly 3 Goals15.8%

1-2 Goals14.4%

Exactly 2 Goals10.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score76.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.0%

Home Clean Sheet23.4%

Home Win to Nil22.5%

Away Clean Sheet3.9%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.582.9%

Away Over 0.576.0%

Home Over 2.562.4%

Home 3+ Goals62.4%

Away Over 1.542.1%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 023.4%

Home Exactly 220.5%

Away Over 2.517.7%

Away 3+ Goals17.7%

Home Exactly 112.6%

Home Exactly 03.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.3%

Home to win by 3+35.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 18.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.7%

Home & Over 2.564.1%

Home & BTTS49.4%

Home & No BTTS22.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.4%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

Away & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

Away & BTTS10.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.9%

HT Over 1.562.3%

HT Home Win56.8%

HT/FT Home/Home51.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Under 1.537.7%

HT Both Teams Score36.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT Away Win16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT Under 0.512.1%

HT/FT Away/Away7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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