UEFA Europa Conference League

Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

Heart Of Midlothian 0.6% Draw 3.1% FC Nordsjaelland 96.3%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

Away Clean Sheet

Poisson P(home scores 0)

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Nordsjaelland: 9 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.80 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.1%

Exact-score model probability

Heart Of Midlothian

W D D D W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

FC Nordsjaelland

W W W W L

Form 4-0-1 Goals 14:1 Scored/game 2.8 Conceded/game 0.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Heart Of Midlothian win0.6%

Draw3.1%

FC Nordsjaelland win96.3%

Over 1.5 goals95.5%

Over 2.5 goals85.8%

Over 3.5 goals70.4%

Both teams to score30.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.5%

Away Over 1.5

89.9%

HT Over 0.5

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away99.3%

Draw or Away (X2)95.3%

Home or Away (12)93.3%

Away Win92.6%

Both Halves Over 0.582.7%

Goal in Both Halves82.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Home or Draw (1X)3.4%

Draw2.7%

Home Win0.7%

Draw No Bet - Home0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals82.4%

Under 5.5 Goals67.9%

Over 3.5 Goals67.6%

4+ Goals67.6%

Under 4.5 Goals50.4%

Over 4.5 Goals49.6%

Total Goals Even48.4%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

2-4 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals32.8%

Under 3.5 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals32.1%

1-3 Goals27.6%

2-3 Goals23.9%

Under 2.5 Goals17.6%

Exactly 3 Goals14.8%

1-2 Goals12.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.1%

Under 1.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.7%

Away Clean Sheet66.3%

Away Win to Nil65.5%

Home Team to Score29.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.3%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Exactly 066.3%

Home Over 0.529.7%

Home Exactly 124.5%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Over 1.55.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 24.5%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Home Over 2.50.6%

Home 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)92.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away85.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)74.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away72.3%

Away to win by 3+72.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)59.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home59.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away54.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home41.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away36.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home23.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away21.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw18.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw15.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 213.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home10.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 17.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home3.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.6%

Home to win by 10.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.581.4%

Away & No BTTS65.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.554.3%

BTTS & Over 2.528.1%

Away & BTTS27.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Away & Under 2.511.2%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

Draw & BTTS1.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Home & Over 2.50.4%

Home & BTTS0.4%

Home & Under 2.50.3%

Home & No BTTS0.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.8%

HT Away Win82.3%

HT/FT Away/Away81.7%

HT Over 1.564.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Under 1.535.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT Draw15.3%

HT Both Teams Score13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT Under 0.511.2%

HT Home Win2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.3%

HT/FT Home/Home0.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners68.2%

Under 11.5 Corners68.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Under 10.5 Corners56.6%

Over 9.5 Corners55.9%

Home Most Corners54.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.3%

Under 9.5 Corners44.1%

Over 10.5 Corners43.4%

Away Most Corners33.3%

Under 8.5 Corners31.8%

Over 11.5 Corners31.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards88.3%

Under 4.5 Cards76.3%

Over 2.5 Cards64.1%

Under 3.5 Cards58.0%

Over 3.5 Cards42.0%

Under 2.5 Cards35.9%

Over 4.5 Cards23.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.2%

Over 5.5 Cards11.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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