Scotland · Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Heart Of Midlothian 73.8% Draw 17.5% ST Johnstone 8.6%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

79%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: Heart Of Midlothian 5 wins, 0 draws, ST Johnstone 0 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Heart Of Midlothian

D D D W L L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

ST Johnstone

L W L L W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Heart Of Midlothian 5wins ·0 draws ·ST Johnstone 0wins

Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 ST JohnstoneMay 14, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 ST JohnstoneFeb 23, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 ST JohnstoneDec 22, 2024

Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 ST JohnstoneNov 2, 2024

Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 ST JohnstoneFeb 7, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Heart Of Midlothian win73.8%

Draw17.5%

ST Johnstone win8.6%

Over 1.5 goals78.5%

Over 2.5 goals54.9%

Over 3.5 goals32.5%

Both teams to score68.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Home or Draw (1X)

90.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.8%

Draw No Bet - Home90.0%

Home or Away (12)87.2%

Home Win78.4%

Both Halves Over 0.575.9%

Goal in Both Halves75.9%

Draw or Away (X2)21.1%

Draw12.3%

Draw No Bet - Away10.0%

Away Win8.7%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals77.7%

Under 5.5 Goals76.7%

Under 4.5 Goals60.6%

Over 3.5 Goals58.9%

4+ Goals58.9%

2-4 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals41.1%

Over 4.5 Goals39.4%

1-3 Goals39.0%

3-4 Goals38.3%

2-3 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals23.3%

Under 2.5 Goals22.3%

1-2 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals13.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

Away Team to Score63.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.4%

Home Clean Sheet36.1%

Home Win to Nil34.5%

Away Clean Sheet4.4%

Away Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Home Over 1.581.5%

Away Over 0.563.4%

Home Over 2.560.1%

Home 3+ Goals60.1%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 036.1%

Away Over 1.526.8%

Home Exactly 221.4%

Away Exactly 218.5%

Home Exactly 113.7%

Away Over 2.58.2%

Away 3+ Goals8.2%

Home Exactly 04.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away59.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)40.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home40.1%

Home to win by 3+40.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 220.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.9%

Away to win by 15.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 22.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.565.7%

BTTS & Over 2.555.6%

Home & BTTS43.9%

Home & No BTTS34.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.7%

Home & Under 2.512.7%

Draw & BTTS10.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

Away & Over 2.56.3%

Away & BTTS6.0%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & No BTTS2.8%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.5%

HT Home Win60.9%

HT/FT Home/Home57.0%

HT Over 1.555.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.4%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score27.7%

HT Draw27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT Under 0.515.5%

HT Away Win11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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