UEFA Champions League
Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz
📊 Our Prediction
Away Win
91% confidence
Over 2.5 - 74%
BTTS - 35%
✓ Pick was correct (0–2)
🎯 Best Pick
Away Win
Dominant form
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 2.5 Goals
High scoring
Away Clean Sheet
Strong defense
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Heart Of Midlothian faces a significant form gap against Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz's attacking threat is high, with a 4-0 win in the previous match. Defensive strength is a concern for Heart Of Midlothian, having conceded 4 goals in the last match. The H2H significance is clear, with Sturm Graz winning the previous encounter.
Top Tip
Sturm Graz is likely to win due to their dominant form and high scoring ability
📈 Probability Breakdown
Heart Of Midlothian win2.0%
Draw7.0%
Sturm Graz win91.0%
Over 1.5 goals90.3%
Over 2.5 goals74.2%
Over 3.5 goals54.0%
Both teams to score35.2%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
Away Win
90.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
89.1%
Away Over 1.5
84.9%
Match Result (11)
Draw No Bet - Away97.6%
Draw or Away (X2)96.9%
Home or Away (12)92.5%
Away Win90.2%
Both Halves Over 0.572.9%
Goal in Both Halves72.9%
Home or Draw (1X)8.9%
Exactly 1 Goal8.0%
Draw6.7%
Draw No Bet - Home2.4%
Home Win2.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals97.1%
Over 1.5 Goals89.1%
Under 5.5 Goals81.1%
Over 2.5 Goals73.6%
Under 4.5 Goals66.0%
2-4 Goals55.1%
Over 3.5 Goals53.5%
4+ Goals53.5%
Total Goals Even49.7%
Total Goals Odd49.4%
Under 3.5 Goals46.5%
1-3 Goals43.5%
3-4 Goals39.6%
2-3 Goals35.6%
Over 4.5 Goals34.0%
Under 2.5 Goals26.4%
1-2 Goals23.4%
Exactly 3 Goals20.1%
Over 5.5 Goals18.9%
Exactly 2 Goals15.5%
Under 1.5 Goals10.9%
Under 0.5 Goals2.9%
Exactly 0 Goals2.0%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score95.9%
No Both Teams Score (NG)65.4%
Away Clean Sheet63.3%
Away Win to Nil61.3%
Home Team to Score35.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)34.6%
Home Clean Sheet3.2%
Home Win to Nil1.2%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.595.9%
Away Over 1.584.9%
Away Over 2.565.9%
Away 3+ Goals65.9%
Home Exactly 063.3%
Home Over 0.535.8%
Home Exactly 128.4%
Away Exactly 219.0%
Away Exactly 111.0%
Home Over 1.57.4%
Home Exactly 26.4%
Away Exactly 03.2%
Home Over 2.51.1%
Home 3+ Goals1.1%
Handicap & Margin (12)
Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)76.2%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)56.5%
Away to win by 3+56.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)22.9%
Away to win by 219.7%
Away to win by 114.1%
Home to win by 11.8%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%
Home to win by 20.3%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home to win by 3+0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & Over 2.571.1%
Away & No BTTS61.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.542.1%
BTTS & Over 2.531.5%
Away & BTTS29.0%
No BTTS & Under 2.522.3%
Away & Under 2.519.2%
Draw & Under 2.55.2%
Draw & BTTS4.6%
BTTS & Under 2.53.2%
Draw & Over 2.51.4%
Home & No BTTS1.2%
Home & Over 2.51.1%
Home & Under 2.51.1%
Home & BTTS1.1%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.582.6%
HT Away Win72.2%
HT/FT Away/Away70.8%
HT Over 1.552.2%
HT Under 1.547.8%
2nd Half More Goals47.2%
1st Half More Goals32.1%
HT Draw23.2%
Equal Goals Each Half20.7%
HT/FT Draw/Away18.1%
HT Under 0.517.4%
HT Both Teams Score14.4%
HT Home Win4.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%
HT/FT Home/Away2.1%
HT/FT Away/Draw1.2%
HT/FT Home/Draw1.2%
HT/FT Home/Home1.1%
HT/FT Draw/Home1.0%
HT/FT Away/Home0.1%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.