Netherlands · Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord

Full time · 5:3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Heerenveen 23.0% Draw 24.4% Feyenoord 52.6%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 91%

✓ Pick was correct (5:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Heerenveen: 13 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Heerenveen

W W W L W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

Feyenoord

L D D L W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Heerenveen 1wins ·1 draws ·Feyenoord 3wins

Heerenveen 2-2 FeyenoordJan 11, 2026

Heerenveen 0-1 FeyenoordSep 13, 2025

Heerenveen 2-0 FeyenoordMay 18, 2025

Heerenveen 0-3 FeyenoordNov 23, 2024

Heerenveen 2-3 FeyenoordMar 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Heerenveen win23.0%

Draw24.4%

Feyenoord win52.6%

Over 1.5 goals83.3%

Over 2.5 goals94.0%

Over 3.5 goals38.6%

Both teams to score90.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.7%

Home Over 0.5

91.7%

HT Over 0.5

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.4%

Goal in Both Halves85.4%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Draw or Away (X2)61.7%

Home or Draw (1X)55.8%

Draw No Bet - Away53.6%

Draw No Bet - Home46.4%

Away Win43.8%

Home Win38.0%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals89.0%

Over 3.5 Goals76.2%

4+ Goals76.2%

Over 4.5 Goals59.5%

Under 5.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals42.0%

Under 4.5 Goals40.5%

2-4 Goals36.8%

3-4 Goals29.5%

Under 3.5 Goals23.8%

1-3 Goals22.9%

2-3 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.0%

1-2 Goals10.2%

Exactly 2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.0%

Home Team to Score91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.5%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil7.5%

Home Clean Sheet6.7%

Home Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 1.574.9%

Home Over 1.571.5%

Away Over 2.550.4%

Away 3+ Goals50.4%

Home Over 2.546.0%

Home 3+ Goals46.0%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Away Exactly 118.1%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Away Exactly 06.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 115.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away14.7%

Away to win by 3+14.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 212.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.5%

Home to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.0%

Home to win by 211.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.9%

Away & Over 2.540.4%

Away & BTTS36.4%

Home & Over 2.534.9%

Home & BTTS31.8%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Away & No BTTS7.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Home & No BTTS6.2%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.5%

HT Over 1.568.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score47.8%

HT Away Win37.9%

HT Home Win34.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.9%

HT/FT Away/Away28.3%

HT Draw28.0%

HT/FT Home/Home24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.9%

HT Under 0.59.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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