Italy · Serie B

Hellas Verona vs Ascoli

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Hellas Verona 7.4% Draw 31.0% Ascoli 61.6%

Over 2.5 - 22% BTTS - 20%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 26.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

26.3%

Exact-score model probability

Hellas Verona

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

Ascoli

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Hellas Verona win7.4%

Draw31.0%

Ascoli win61.6%

Over 1.5 goals48.5%

Over 2.5 goals21.6%

Over 3.5 goals7.9%

Both teams to score19.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.5%

Draw No Bet - Away88.1%

Home or Away (12)71.1%

Away Win62.6%

Home or Draw (1X)37.4%

Exactly 1 Goal32.3%

Both Halves Over 0.530.0%

Goal in Both Halves30.0%

Draw28.9%

Draw No Bet - Home11.9%

Home Win8.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.4%

Under 4.5 Goals97.6%

Under 3.5 Goals92.1%

Over 0.5 Goals79.8%

Under 2.5 Goals78.4%

1-3 Goals71.9%

1-2 Goals58.2%

Under 1.5 Goals52.6%

Total Goals Even52.0%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Over 1.5 Goals47.4%

2-4 Goals45.1%

2-3 Goals39.6%

Exactly 2 Goals25.8%

Over 2.5 Goals21.6%

Under 0.5 Goals20.2%

Exactly 0 Goals20.2%

3-4 Goals19.3%

Exactly 3 Goals13.8%

Over 3.5 Goals7.9%

4+ Goals7.9%

Over 4.5 Goals2.4%

Over 5.5 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)81.2%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Team to Score72.7%

Away Win to Nil53.9%

Home Clean Sheet27.3%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)18.8%

Home Win to Nil7.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Over 0.572.7%

Away Over 1.537.2%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 027.3%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Over 2.514.2%

Away 3+ Goals14.2%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw31.7%

Away to win by 131.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 219.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.5%

Away to win by 3+11.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.3%

Home to win by 17.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.0%

Home to win by 21.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.570.5%

Away & No BTTS53.9%

Away & Under 2.543.3%

Draw & Under 2.528.1%

Away & Over 2.519.3%

BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Away & BTTS8.8%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & No BTTS7.1%

Home & Under 2.57.0%

Home & Over 2.51.5%

Home & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.583.8%

HT Draw52.6%

HT Over 0.551.3%

HT Under 0.548.7%

HT Away Win40.0%

HT/FT Away/Away37.7%

2nd Half More Goals37.0%

Equal Goals Each Half35.2%

1st Half More Goals27.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw24.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away24.0%

HT Over 1.516.2%

HT Home Win7.3%

HT Both Teams Score5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Home4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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