Italy · Serie B

Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Oct 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Hellas Verona 3.9% Draw 19.0% Catanzaro 77.1%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 23%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 20.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Catanzaro: 3 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

20.4%

Exact-score model probability

Hellas Verona

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

Catanzaro

L L W W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hellas Verona win3.9%

Draw19.0%

Catanzaro win77.1%

Over 1.5 goals66.9%

Over 2.5 goals39.5%

Over 3.5 goals19.4%

Both teams to score23.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

92.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)95.2%

Draw No Bet - Away94.3%

Home or Away (12)82.5%

Away Win77.8%

Both Halves Over 0.545.6%

Goal in Both Halves45.6%

Exactly 1 Goal23.5%

Home or Draw (1X)22.2%

Draw17.4%

Draw No Bet - Home5.7%

Home Win4.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.2%

Under 4.5 Goals92.0%

Over 0.5 Goals89.6%

Under 3.5 Goals80.6%

1-3 Goals70.2%

Over 1.5 Goals66.1%

Under 2.5 Goals60.5%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-3 Goals46.7%

Over 2.5 Goals39.5%

Under 1.5 Goals33.9%

3-4 Goals31.5%

Exactly 2 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 3.5 Goals19.4%

4+ Goals19.4%

Under 0.5 Goals10.4%

Exactly 0 Goals10.4%

Over 4.5 Goals8.0%

Over 5.5 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)77.7%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Win to Nil63.7%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)22.3%

Home Clean Sheet14.0%

Home Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.0%

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Over 1.558.5%

Away Over 2.531.4%

Away 3+ Goals31.4%

Away Exactly 127.5%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 014.0%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)77.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)50.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away50.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home49.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.0%

Away to win by 127.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away26.5%

Away to win by 3+26.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw24.3%

Away to win by 224.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)22.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home22.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.1%

Home to win by 14.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.6%

Home to win by 20.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS63.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.554.4%

Away & Under 2.540.4%

Away & Over 2.537.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.3%

Draw & Under 2.516.5%

BTTS & Over 2.516.2%

Away & BTTS14.1%

Draw & BTTS7.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.1%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Home & No BTTS3.6%

Home & Over 2.51.2%

Home & BTTS1.1%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.8%

HT Over 0.563.9%

HT Away Win54.0%

HT/FT Away/Away52.0%

2nd Half More Goals41.4%

HT Draw40.5%

HT Under 0.536.1%

1st Half More Goals30.2%

Equal Goals Each Half28.4%

HT Over 1.527.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away24.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.8%

HT Both Teams Score7.4%

HT Home Win5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Home2.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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