Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Hertha BSC 32.0% Draw 18.0% 1. FC Magdeburg 50.0%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to 1. FC Magdeburg: 9 points versus 12 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.27 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Hertha BSC

W W L W L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.8

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Hertha BSC 0wins ·0 draws ·1. FC Magdeburg 1wins

Hertha BSC 0-1 1. FC MagdeburgMay 3, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hertha BSC win32.0%

Draw18.0%

1. FC Magdeburg win50.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.6%

Over 2.5 goals90.8%

Over 3.5 goals79.2%

Both teams to score87.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.4%

Home Team to Score

90.9%

Home Over 0.5

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.8%

Goal in Both Halves86.8%

Home or Away (12)82.4%

Draw or Away (X2)67.2%

Draw No Bet - Away60.8%

Away Win50.1%

Home or Draw (1X)49.4%

Draw No Bet - Home39.2%

Home Win32.3%

Draw17.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.8%

Over 2.5 Goals90.4%

Over 3.5 Goals78.8%

4+ Goals78.8%

Over 4.5 Goals63.0%

Under 5.5 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals45.8%

Under 4.5 Goals37.0%

2-4 Goals33.7%

3-4 Goals27.4%

Under 3.5 Goals21.2%

1-3 Goals20.3%

2-3 Goals17.9%

Exactly 3 Goals11.6%

Under 2.5 Goals9.6%

1-2 Goals8.7%

Exactly 2 Goals6.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

Home Team to Score90.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.6%

Away Clean Sheet8.6%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Home Clean Sheet5.0%

Home Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 0.590.9%

Away Over 1.579.6%

Home Over 1.569.9%

Away Over 2.557.2%

Away 3+ Goals57.2%

Home Over 2.544.1%

Home 3+ Goals44.1%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Home Exactly 121.0%

Away Exactly 114.9%

Home Exactly 08.6%

Away Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.1%

Away to win by 3+19.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 114.0%

Away to win by 214.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 29.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.0%

Home to win by 3+9.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.3%

Away & Over 2.546.9%

Away & BTTS42.0%

Home & Over 2.530.0%

Home & BTTS27.8%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Home & No BTTS4.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.4%

HT Over 1.570.3%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score49.5%

HT Away Win42.4%

HT/FT Away/Away33.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win30.6%

HT Under 1.529.7%

HT Draw27.0%

HT/FT Home/Home20.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT Under 0.58.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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