Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Hertha BSC 61.7% Draw 17.2% Arminia Bielefeld 21.1%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Hertha BSC: 9 points versus 8 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Hertha BSC

W W L W L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.8

Arminia Bielefeld

D D W L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Hertha BSC 0wins ·0 draws ·Arminia Bielefeld 1wins

Hertha BSC 1-6 Arminia BielefeldMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hertha BSC win61.7%

Draw17.2%

Arminia Bielefeld win21.1%

Over 1.5 goals96.3%

Over 2.5 goals87.2%

Over 3.5 goals72.8%

Both teams to score81.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Home or Draw (1X)78.0%

Draw No Bet - Home74.2%

Home Win61.9%

Draw or Away (X2)37.6%

Draw No Bet - Away25.8%

Away Win21.5%

Draw16.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals86.7%

Over 3.5 Goals72.5%

4+ Goals72.5%

Under 5.5 Goals62.7%

Over 4.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals45.2%

2-4 Goals40.5%

Over 5.5 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals31.9%

Under 3.5 Goals27.5%

1-3 Goals26.3%

2-3 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

Under 2.5 Goals13.3%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score84.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.6%

Home Clean Sheet15.3%

Home Win to Nil14.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.5%

Away Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 0.584.2%

Home Over 1.580.9%

Home Over 2.559.2%

Home 3+ Goals59.2%

Away Over 1.555.6%

Away Over 2.528.7%

Away Exactly 128.7%

Away 3+ Goals28.7%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 221.7%

Away Exactly 015.3%

Home Exactly 114.0%

Home Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away56.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home43.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.8%

Home to win by 3+26.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 216.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 111.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.2%

Away to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.3%

Home & Over 2.556.4%

Home & BTTS47.3%

Away & Over 2.519.0%

Away & BTTS17.7%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

Home & No BTTS14.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS3.8%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Over 1.565.3%

HT Home Win49.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score42.8%

HT/FT Home/Home42.5%

HT Under 1.534.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.5%

HT Away Win22.7%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Away/Away12.7%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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