Scotland · Premiership

Hibernian vs Celtic

Kick-off 13:00 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Hibernian 26.6% Draw 23.9% Celtic 49.5%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

78%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Celtic: 11 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Hibernian

L W D D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Celtic

L W W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Hibernian 1wins ·1 draws ·Celtic 3wins

Hibernian 1-2 CelticMay 3, 2026

Hibernian 2-1 CelticFeb 22, 2026

Hibernian 1-2 CelticNov 30, 2025

Hibernian 0-0 CelticSep 27, 2025

Hibernian 1-3 CelticMay 10, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hibernian win26.6%

Draw23.9%

Celtic win49.5%

Over 1.5 goals78.3%

Over 2.5 goals55.1%

Over 3.5 goals32.7%

Both teams to score89.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

89.5%

HT Over 0.5

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.4%

Goal in Both Halves82.4%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Draw or Away (X2)72.1%

Draw No Bet - Away66.4%

Away Win54.5%

Home or Draw (1X)45.3%

Draw No Bet - Home33.6%

Home Win27.6%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals85.7%

Over 3.5 Goals70.7%

4+ Goals70.7%

Under 5.5 Goals64.9%

Over 4.5 Goals52.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals47.4%

2-4 Goals42.5%

Over 5.5 Goals35.1%

3-4 Goals33.1%

Under 3.5 Goals29.3%

1-3 Goals28.2%

2-3 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals15.0%

Under 2.5 Goals14.3%

1-2 Goals13.2%

Exactly 2 Goals9.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.7%

Home Team to Score86.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.7%

Away Clean Sheet13.2%

Away Win to Nil12.4%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.7%

Home Over 0.586.5%

Away Over 1.576.7%

Home Over 1.559.8%

Away Over 2.552.9%

Away 3+ Goals52.9%

Home Over 2.532.8%

Home 3+ Goals32.8%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.7%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 117.0%

Home Exactly 013.2%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)54.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home45.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.6%

Away to win by 3+20.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 215.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 113.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 28.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.2%

Home to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.7%

Away & Over 2.549.1%

Away & BTTS42.1%

Home & Over 2.524.3%

Home & BTTS22.3%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Away & No BTTS12.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

Home & No BTTS5.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.6%

HT Over 1.563.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Away Win44.5%

HT Both Teams Score42.8%

HT Under 1.536.2%

HT/FT Away/Away36.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.8%

HT Home Win26.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Home/Home16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%

HT Under 0.511.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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