UEFA Europa Conference League

Hibernian vs Gent

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Hibernian 69.3% Draw 20.1% Gent 10.6%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Gent: 11 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Hibernian

D D W W L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Gent

D W D W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 6:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.33

Head to head · last 1

Hibernian 0wins ·1 draws ·Gent 0wins

Hibernian 0-0 GentAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hibernian win69.3%

Draw20.1%

Gent win10.6%

Over 1.5 goals82.1%

Over 2.5 goals59.1%

Over 3.5 goals36.7%

Both teams to score50.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.0%

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Home Over 0.5

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.2%

Draw No Bet - Home85.7%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home Win70.3%

Both Halves Over 0.561.0%

Goal in Both Halves61.0%

Draw or Away (X2)29.6%

Draw17.9%

Draw No Bet - Away14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal14.3%

Away Win11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals91.0%

Over 1.5 Goals81.0%

Under 4.5 Goals80.5%

Under 3.5 Goals63.3%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals59.1%

1-3 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.3%

Under 2.5 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.7%

4+ Goals36.7%

1-2 Goals36.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals19.5%

Under 1.5 Goals19.0%

Over 5.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.5%

Away Team to Score55.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.4%

Home Clean Sheet44.8%

Home Win to Nil40.1%

Away Clean Sheet10.4%

Away Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.5%

Home Over 1.566.0%

Away Over 0.555.2%

Away Exactly 044.8%

Home Over 2.539.3%

Home 3+ Goals39.3%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 123.6%

Away Over 1.519.2%

Away Exactly 214.4%

Home Exactly 010.4%

Away Over 2.54.8%

Away 3+ Goals4.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away74.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.8%

Home to win by 3+25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.5%

Home to win by 123.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.0%

Home to win by 221.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.3%

Away to win by 18.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 22.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.547.8%

BTTS & Over 2.540.9%

Home & No BTTS40.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.4%

Home & BTTS30.2%

Home & Under 2.522.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.1%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Under 2.513.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

Away & Over 2.56.5%

Away & BTTS6.0%

Away & No BTTS5.7%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.8%

HT Under 1.559.9%

HT Home Win51.7%

HT/FT Home/Home47.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.1%

HT Draw35.3%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.2%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.0%

HT Both Teams Score19.4%

HT Away Win13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%

HT/FT Away/Away6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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