Scotland · Premiership

Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian

Kick-off 19:45 · Thu, Sep 3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Hibernian 37.9% Draw 28.0% Heart Of Midlothian 34.1%

Over 2.5 - 45% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Hibernian: 11 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Hibernian

W D D W W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Heart Of Midlothian

D D D W L L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Hibernian 2wins ·0 draws ·Heart Of Midlothian 3wins

Hibernian 1-2 Heart Of MidlothianApr 26, 2026

Hibernian 0-1 Heart Of MidlothianFeb 10, 2026

Hibernian 3-2 Heart Of MidlothianDec 27, 2025

Hibernian 0-1 Heart Of MidlothianOct 4, 2025

Hibernian 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianMar 2, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hibernian win37.9%

Draw28.0%

Heart Of Midlothian win34.1%

Over 1.5 goals70.7%

Over 2.5 goals44.5%

Over 3.5 goals23.3%

Both teams to score68.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.5%

Draw No Bet - Home88.9%

Home or Away (12)87.3%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Home Win77.6%

Draw or Away (X2)21.6%

Draw11.9%

Draw No Bet - Away11.1%

Away Win9.7%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals93.6%

Over 2.5 Goals83.1%

Under 5.5 Goals69.2%

Over 3.5 Goals66.8%

4+ Goals66.8%

Under 4.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 4.5 Goals48.1%

2-4 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals33.2%

1-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals30.8%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.9%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

1-2 Goals15.1%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score69.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.4%

Home Clean Sheet29.3%

Home Win to Nil28.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.4%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.584.4%

Away Over 0.569.9%

Home Over 2.565.1%

Home 3+ Goals65.1%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 1.534.2%

Away Exactly 029.3%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 219.4%

Away Over 2.512.4%

Away 3+ Goals12.4%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Home Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.4%

Home to win by 3+41.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 219.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 16.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.568.5%

BTTS & Over 2.563.4%

Home & BTTS49.3%

Home & No BTTS28.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

Home & Under 2.59.1%

Away & Over 2.57.7%

Away & BTTS7.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.5%

HT Over 1.561.4%

HT Home Win61.3%

HT/FT Home/Home57.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Under 1.538.6%

HT Both Teams Score33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT Away Win13.2%

HT Under 0.512.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners70.1%

Over 8.5 Corners66.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Under 10.5 Corners58.7%

Away Most Corners56.6%

Over 9.5 Corners53.8%

Under 9.5 Corners46.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners46.2%

Over 10.5 Corners41.3%

Under 8.5 Corners33.7%

Home Most Corners31.2%

Over 11.5 Corners29.9%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards83.9%

Over 2.5 Cards70.3%

Under 4.5 Cards70.0%

Under 3.5 Cards50.8%

Over 3.5 Cards49.2%

Over 4.5 Cards30.0%

Under 2.5 Cards29.7%

Over 5.5 Cards16.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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