Scotland · Premiership
Hibernian vs Motherwell
📊 Our Prediction
Over 1.5 Goals
46% confidence
Over 2.5 - 47%
BTTS - 62%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
High scoring
⚠️ AIs disagree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Away Win
Motherwell form
Both Teams Score (GG)
BTTS rate high
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Hibernian and Motherwell have a closely matched recent form, with Motherwell having a slight edge in scoring. Hibernian's home record is not strong, while Motherwell has been performing well away. The head-to-head history between the two teams is also closely contested. With both teams having a high BTTS rate, goals are expected. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.
Top Tip
Over 1
Hibernian
Motherwell
📈 Probability Breakdown
Hibernian win46.2%
Draw26.9%
Motherwell win26.9%
Over 1.5 goals72.5%
Over 2.5 goals46.7%
Over 3.5 goals25.1%
Both teams to score62.2%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
Under 4.5 Goals
86.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)
83.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away
83.4%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)74.1%
Draw or Away (X2)63.2%
Home or Draw (1X)62.7%
Both Halves Over 0.554.0%
Goal in Both Halves54.0%
Draw No Bet - Away50.3%
Draw No Bet - Home49.7%
Away Win37.3%
Home Win36.8%
Draw25.9%
Exactly 1 Goal18.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals94.5%
Over 0.5 Goals93.1%
Under 4.5 Goals86.6%
Over 1.5 Goals74.8%
Under 3.5 Goals71.9%
1-3 Goals65.0%
2-4 Goals61.4%
Total Goals Even50.2%
Over 2.5 Goals50.1%
Under 2.5 Goals49.9%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
2-3 Goals46.6%
1-2 Goals43.0%
3-4 Goals36.7%
Over 3.5 Goals28.1%
4+ Goals28.1%
Under 1.5 Goals25.2%
Exactly 2 Goals24.6%
Exactly 3 Goals22.0%
Over 4.5 Goals13.4%
Under 0.5 Goals6.9%
Exactly 0 Goals6.9%
Over 5.5 Goals5.5%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score73.9%
Home Team to Score73.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)54.5%
No Both Teams Score (NG)45.5%
Away Clean Sheet26.3%
Home Clean Sheet26.1%
Away Win to Nil19.5%
Home Win to Nil19.2%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.573.9%
Home Over 0.573.7%
Away Over 1.538.9%
Home Over 1.538.6%
Home Exactly 135.1%
Away Exactly 135.0%
Home Exactly 026.3%
Away Exactly 026.1%
Away Exactly 223.6%
Home Exactly 223.5%
Away Over 2.515.3%
Away 3+ Goals15.3%
Home Over 2.515.1%
Home 3+ Goals15.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.1%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.0%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.1%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.2%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%
Away to win by 120.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.2%
Home to win by 120.2%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.9%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.9%
Away to win by 210.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.7%
Home to win by 210.7%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.0%
Away to win by 3+6.0%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.9%
Home to win by 3+5.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.542.2%
No BTTS & Under 2.537.5%
Away & Over 2.521.8%
Home & Over 2.521.5%
Away & No BTTS19.5%
Draw & Under 2.519.2%
Home & No BTTS19.2%
Draw & BTTS19.1%
Away & BTTS17.8%
Home & BTTS17.6%
Away & Under 2.515.4%
Home & Under 2.515.3%
BTTS & Under 2.512.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%
Draw & Over 2.56.8%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.570.1%
HT Under 1.566.0%
2nd Half More Goals43.3%
HT Draw41.9%
HT Over 1.534.0%
1st Half More Goals31.0%
HT Under 0.529.9%
HT Away Win29.2%
HT Home Win28.9%
Equal Goals Each Half25.7%
HT/FT Away/Away21.8%
HT/FT Home/Home21.5%
HT Both Teams Score20.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw15.5%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%
HT/FT Draw/Home13.1%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%
HT/FT Away/Home2.2%
HT/FT Home/Away2.2%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.