UEFA Europa Conference League

Hibernian vs Shkendija

Full time · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Hibernian 6.7% Draw 11.8% Shkendija 81.5%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 62%

✓ Pick was correct (2:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Hibernian

L W L L W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Shkendija

W L W W

Form 3-0-1 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hibernian win6.7%

Draw11.8%

Shkendija win81.5%

Over 1.5 goals93.9%

Over 2.5 goals81.3%

Over 3.5 goals63.8%

Both teams to score61.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

92.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

92.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.0%

Draw No Bet - Away91.9%

Home or Away (12)88.5%

Away Win81.4%

Both Halves Over 0.578.5%

Goal in Both Halves78.5%

Home or Draw (1X)17.8%

Draw10.6%

Draw No Bet - Home8.1%

Home Win7.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals80.7%

Under 5.5 Goals72.8%

Over 3.5 Goals63.2%

4+ Goals63.2%

Under 4.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-4 Goals48.5%

Over 4.5 Goals44.1%

Under 3.5 Goals36.8%

3-4 Goals36.6%

1-3 Goals34.7%

2-3 Goals29.3%

Over 5.5 Goals27.2%

Under 2.5 Goals19.3%

Exactly 3 Goals17.4%

1-2 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.8%

Home Team to Score62.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.4%

Away Clean Sheet36.4%

Away Win to Nil35.2%

Home Clean Sheet3.3%

Home Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 1.584.5%

Away Over 2.565.2%

Away 3+ Goals65.2%

Home Over 0.562.7%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 036.4%

Home Over 1.526.2%

Away Exactly 219.3%

Home Exactly 218.3%

Away Exactly 111.3%

Home Over 2.58.0%

Home 3+ Goals8.0%

Away Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)81.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home71.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away64.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)53.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home53.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away45.3%

Away to win by 3+45.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home34.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away27.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 219.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home17.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 116.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw8.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.9%

Home to win by 14.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.7%

Home to win by 21.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.570.1%

BTTS & Over 2.556.4%

Away & BTTS46.2%

Away & No BTTS35.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.3%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

Home & Over 2.55.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.2%

Home & BTTS5.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Home & No BTTS2.1%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.2%

HT Away Win64.3%

HT/FT Away/Away60.8%

HT Over 1.558.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score28.4%

HT Draw25.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.4%

HT Under 0.513.8%

HT Home Win10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Home/Home3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions