UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

58% confidence

HNK Hajduk Split 57.5% Draw 14.2% FK Zalgiris Vilnius 28.3%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is HNK Hajduk Split win at 57.5%.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.80 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

HNK Hajduk Split win

57.5%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.2%

1X2 model probability

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win

28.3%

1X2 model probability

HNK Hajduk Split

W L W L W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.2

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

L W L W W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 14:12 Scored/game 2.8 Conceded/game 2.4

Head to head · last 1

HNK Hajduk Split 1wins ·0 draws ·FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0wins

HNK Hajduk Split 5-2 FK Zalgiris VilniusAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

HNK Hajduk Split win57.5%

Draw14.2%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win28.3%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.4%

Over 3.5 goals95.1%

Both teams to score95.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.9%

Away Over 0.5

91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.8%

Goal in Both Halves95.8%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Home or Draw (1X)68.3%

Draw No Bet - Home67.0%

Home Win54.9%

Draw or Away (X2)40.4%

Draw No Bet - Away33.0%

Away Win27.0%

Draw13.4%

Exactly 1 Goal0.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.6%

4+ Goals90.6%

Over 4.5 Goals84.4%

Over 5.5 Goals74.8%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

Total Goals Even47.6%

Under 5.5 Goals25.2%

Under 4.5 Goals15.6%

2-4 Goals10.5%

Under 3.5 Goals9.4%

3-4 Goals9.3%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

1-3 Goals4.6%

2-3 Goals4.3%

Exactly 3 Goals3.1%

1-2 Goals1.5%

Exactly 2 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.1%

Away Team to Score91.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.2%

Home Clean Sheet3.3%

Home Win to Nil3.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.1%

Away Over 0.591.9%

Home Over 1.589.2%

Away Over 1.580.7%

Home Over 2.578.0%

Home 3+ Goals78.0%

Away Over 2.561.9%

Away 3+ Goals61.9%

Away Exactly 218.8%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 111.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 03.3%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.9%

Home to win by 3+26.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 213.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 110.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.7%

Away to win by 3+8.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 27.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.3%

Home & Over 2.554.3%

Home & BTTS51.6%

Away & Over 2.526.6%

Away & BTTS25.9%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.4%

Home & No BTTS3.3%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.0%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Draw & Under 2.50.6%

BTTS & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.597.1%

HT Over 1.586.8%

HT Both Teams Score67.6%

2nd Half More Goals53.8%

HT Home Win49.6%

HT/FT Home/Home40.8%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win28.9%

HT Draw21.5%

HT/FT Away/Away17.3%

Equal Goals Each Half14.0%

HT Under 1.513.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%

HT/FT Away/Home6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.52.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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