UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland

Kick-off 19:45 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

HNK Rijeka 33.8% Draw 36.8% FC Midtjylland 29.4%

Over 2.5 - 26% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 17.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to HNK Rijeka: 10 points versus 9 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.2%

Exact-score model probability

HNK Rijeka

L D W W W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 4:3 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 0.6

FC Midtjylland

W W W L L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

HNK Rijeka 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Midtjylland 1wins

HNK Rijeka 0-2 FC MidtjyllandAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

HNK Rijeka win33.8%

Draw36.8%

FC Midtjylland win29.4%

Over 1.5 goals54.2%

Over 2.5 goals25.9%

Over 3.5 goals10.2%

Both teams to score35.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

89.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)68.9%

Home or Away (12)66.7%

Draw or Away (X2)64.4%

Draw No Bet - Home53.3%

Draw No Bet - Away46.7%

Home Win35.6%

Both Halves Over 0.533.9%

Goal in Both Halves33.9%

Draw33.3%

Away Win31.1%

Exactly 1 Goal30.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.1%

Under 4.5 Goals96.6%

Under 3.5 Goals89.8%

Over 0.5 Goals82.8%

Under 2.5 Goals74.1%

1-3 Goals72.6%

1-2 Goals56.9%

Over 1.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Even51.5%

2-4 Goals49.2%

Total Goals Odd48.5%

Under 1.5 Goals47.5%

2-3 Goals42.3%

Exactly 2 Goals26.6%

Over 2.5 Goals25.9%

3-4 Goals22.5%

Under 0.5 Goals17.2%

Exactly 0 Goals17.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.6%

Over 3.5 Goals10.2%

4+ Goals10.2%

Over 4.5 Goals3.4%

Over 5.5 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)65.8%

Home Team to Score60.1%

Away Team to Score56.8%

Home Clean Sheet43.2%

Away Clean Sheet39.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.2%

Home Win to Nil26.0%

Away Win to Nil22.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.560.1%

Away Over 0.556.8%

Away Exactly 043.2%

Home Exactly 039.9%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Home Over 1.523.5%

Away Over 1.520.6%

Home Exactly 216.9%

Away Exactly 215.2%

Home Over 2.56.6%

Home 3+ Goals6.6%

Away Over 2.55.3%

Away 3+ Goals5.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.8%

Away to win by 120.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 27.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.4%

Home to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.560.8%

Draw & Under 2.530.5%

Home & No BTTS26.0%

Home & Under 2.523.1%

Away & No BTTS22.6%

BTTS & Over 2.520.9%

Away & Under 2.520.5%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

Home & Over 2.512.4%

Away & Over 2.510.6%

Home & BTTS9.6%

Away & BTTS8.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.0%

Draw & Over 2.52.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.581.2%

HT Over 0.554.7%

HT Draw52.7%

HT Under 0.545.3%

2nd Half More Goals38.3%

Equal Goals Each Half33.1%

1st Half More Goals28.6%

HT Home Win25.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw25.0%

HT Away Win22.4%

HT/FT Home/Home19.7%

HT Over 1.518.8%

HT/FT Away/Away17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT Both Teams Score10.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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