UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves

Full time · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

HNK Rijeka 34.1% Draw 51.1% Ilves 14.8%

Over 2.5 - 6% BTTS - 12%

✓ Pick was correct (1:0)

🎯 Best Pick

No Both Teams Score (NG)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 41.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

41.7%

Exact-score model probability

HNK Rijeka

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 2:0 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0

Ilves

W L W D

Form 2-1-1 Goals 4:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

HNK Rijeka win34.1%

Draw51.1%

Ilves win14.8%

Over 1.5 goals22.8%

Over 2.5 goals5.9%

Over 3.5 goals1.2%

Both teams to score12.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.2%

Draw No Bet - Home68.9%

Draw or Away (X2)65.0%

Home or Away (12)50.8%

Draw49.2%

Exactly 1 Goal36.5%

Home Win35.0%

Draw No Bet - Away31.1%

Away Win15.8%

Both Halves Over 0.512.4%

Goal in Both Halves12.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.8%

Under 3.5 Goals98.8%

Under 2.5 Goals94.1%

Under 1.5 Goals78.2%

Total Goals Even58.7%

Over 0.5 Goals58.3%

1-3 Goals57.1%

1-2 Goals52.4%

Under 0.5 Goals41.7%

Exactly 0 Goals41.7%

Total Goals Odd41.3%

Over 1.5 Goals21.8%

2-4 Goals21.6%

2-3 Goals20.6%

Exactly 2 Goals16.0%

Over 2.5 Goals5.9%

3-4 Goals5.7%

Exactly 3 Goals4.7%

Over 3.5 Goals1.2%

4+ Goals1.2%

Over 4.5 Goals0.2%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)88.7%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Clean Sheet56.3%

Home Team to Score43.7%

Home Win to Nil32.4%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Away Win to Nil14.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)11.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Exactly 056.3%

Home Over 0.543.7%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Over 1.511.4%

Home Exactly 29.3%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.52.1%

Home 3+ Goals2.1%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.1%

Home to win by 126.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.3%

Home to win by 27.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.6%

Home to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.586.9%

Draw & Under 2.548.9%

Home & No BTTS32.4%

Home & Under 2.530.9%

Away & No BTTS14.6%

Away & Under 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS7.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Home & Over 2.54.1%

BTTS & Over 2.54.1%

Home & BTTS2.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.51.7%

Away & Over 2.51.4%

Away & BTTS1.2%

Draw & Over 2.50.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.594.0%

HT Draw69.8%

HT Under 0.567.5%

Equal Goals Each Half50.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw45.4%

HT Over 0.532.5%

2nd Half More Goals28.1%

1st Half More Goals22.0%

HT Home Win20.3%

HT/FT Home/Home18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT Away Win9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.9%

HT/FT Away/Away7.7%

HT Over 1.56.0%

HT Both Teams Score2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions