Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Holstein Kiel 72.5% Draw 14.1% Dynamo Dresden 13.4%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dynamo Dresden: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Holstein Kiel

L D D L L W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Dynamo Dresden

W D W L W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Holstein Kiel 0wins ·0 draws ·Dynamo Dresden 1wins

Holstein Kiel 1-2 Dynamo DresdenMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Holstein Kiel win72.5%

Draw14.1%

Dynamo Dresden win13.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.7%

Over 2.5 goals88.2%

Over 3.5 goals74.6%

Both teams to score77.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

87.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.9%

Home or Draw (1X)85.3%

Both Halves Over 0.584.5%

Goal in Both Halves84.5%

Draw No Bet - Home84.0%

Home Win72.2%

Draw or Away (X2)26.8%

Draw No Bet - Away16.0%

Away Win13.7%

Draw13.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals87.3%

Over 3.5 Goals73.8%

4+ Goals73.8%

Under 5.5 Goals60.9%

Over 4.5 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals43.4%

Over 5.5 Goals39.1%

2-4 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals30.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.2%

1-3 Goals24.6%

2-3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

Under 2.5 Goals12.7%

1-2 Goals11.1%

Exactly 2 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score79.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.4%

Home Clean Sheet20.0%

Home Win to Nil19.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.585.4%

Away Over 0.579.0%

Home Over 2.566.9%

Home 3+ Goals66.9%

Away Over 1.547.0%

Away Exactly 132.0%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Away Over 2.521.4%

Away 3+ Goals21.4%

Away Exactly 020.0%

Home Exactly 218.5%

Home Exactly 110.6%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home55.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.1%

Home to win by 3+37.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 17.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.8%

Away to win by 23.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.2%

Home & Over 2.566.3%

Home & BTTS52.8%

Home & No BTTS19.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.2%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

Away & Over 2.511.9%

Away & BTTS11.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Home & Under 2.55.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Over 1.566.8%

HT Home Win57.8%

HT/FT Home/Home52.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score40.7%

HT Under 1.533.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT Away Win17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT/FT Away/Away7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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