Spain · Copa del Rey

Hortaleza vs Sevilla

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Hortaleza 44.3% Draw 22.2% Sevilla 33.5%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Hortaleza

No recent results stored yet

Sevilla

W L D L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hortaleza win44.3%

Draw22.2%

Sevilla win33.5%

Over 1.5 goals92.2%

Over 2.5 goals77.2%

Over 3.5 goals57.9%

Both teams to score76.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Home Team to Score

88.6%

Home Over 0.5

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.0%

Goal in Both Halves75.0%

Home or Draw (1X)65.5%

Draw No Bet - Home56.8%

Draw or Away (X2)54.7%

Home Win45.2%

Draw No Bet - Away43.2%

Away Win34.4%

Draw20.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Under 5.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.1%

Under 4.5 Goals61.6%

Over 3.5 Goals57.9%

4+ Goals57.9%

2-4 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals42.1%

1-3 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals33.4%

Under 2.5 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.6%

Away Team to Score84.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.8%

Home Clean Sheet15.1%

Home Win to Nil13.4%

Away Clean Sheet11.3%

Away Win to Nil9.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.6%

Away Over 0.584.9%

Home Over 1.563.9%

Away Over 1.556.4%

Home Over 2.537.0%

Home 3+ Goals37.0%

Away Over 2.529.4%

Away 3+ Goals29.4%

Away Exactly 128.5%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 124.7%

Away Exactly 015.1%

Home Exactly 011.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.9%

Home to win by 3+12.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.8%

Away to win by 3+7.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.2%

Home & Over 2.537.4%

Home & BTTS31.9%

Away & Over 2.528.1%

Away & BTTS24.8%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.8%

Home & No BTTS13.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.6%

Away & No BTTS9.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Draw & Under 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & Under 2.56.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Over 1.554.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.4%

HT Home Win37.2%

HT Both Teams Score35.8%

HT Draw32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Away Win30.3%

HT/FT Home/Home28.5%

HT/FT Away/Away20.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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