USA · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati

● LIVE 61' · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

Houston Dynamo 95.6% Draw 3.6% FC Cincinnati 0.8%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 35%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

Home Clean Sheet

Poisson P(away scores 0)

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 12.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.5%

Exact-score model probability

Houston Dynamo

L W D D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 4:4 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.67

FC Cincinnati

D L L D W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Houston Dynamo win95.6%

Draw3.6%

FC Cincinnati win0.8%

Over 1.5 goals95.5%

Over 2.5 goals85.7%

Over 3.5 goals70.3%

Both teams to score34.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Home Over 1.5

89.8%

HT Over 0.5

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home99.0%

Home or Draw (1X)95.4%

Home or Away (12)93.2%

Home Win92.3%

Both Halves Over 0.582.6%

Goal in Both Halves82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)4.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Draw3.1%

Draw No Bet - Away1.0%

Away Win0.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals82.6%

Under 5.5 Goals67.8%

Over 3.5 Goals67.7%

4+ Goals67.7%

Under 4.5 Goals50.3%

Over 4.5 Goals49.7%

Total Goals Even48.5%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

2-4 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals32.9%

Under 3.5 Goals32.3%

Over 5.5 Goals32.2%

1-3 Goals27.8%

2-3 Goals24.0%

Under 2.5 Goals17.4%

Exactly 3 Goals14.8%

1-2 Goals12.9%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)66.9%

Home Clean Sheet62.8%

Home Win to Nil62.0%

Away Team to Score33.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)33.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.2%

Away Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Home Over 2.578.1%

Home 3+ Goals78.1%

Away Exactly 062.8%

Away Over 0.533.5%

Away Exactly 126.8%

Home Exactly 211.7%

Away Over 1.56.6%

Away Exactly 25.7%

Home Exactly 15.3%

Home Exactly 01.2%

Away Over 2.50.9%

Away 3+ Goals0.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)92.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home84.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)76.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home70.6%

Home to win by 3+70.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away61.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)52.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home52.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away43.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home34.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away25.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw18.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw15.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 213.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.9%

Home to win by 17.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away4.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 10.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 20.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.2%

Home & No BTTS62.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.551.0%

BTTS & Over 2.531.6%

Home & BTTS30.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Home & Under 2.511.1%

Draw & BTTS2.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Away & Over 2.50.5%

Away & BTTS0.5%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Away & No BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Home Win81.1%

HT/FT Home/Home80.4%

HT Over 1.564.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Under 1.535.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT Draw16.0%

HT Both Teams Score15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT Away Win2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Away/Away0.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners86.3%

Under 10.5 Corners78.1%

Under 9.5 Corners67.5%

Under 8.5 Corners54.6%

Home Most Corners45.7%

Over 8.5 Corners45.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.3%

Away Most Corners40.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners38.4%

Over 9.5 Corners32.5%

Over 10.5 Corners21.9%

Over 11.5 Corners13.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards80.6%

Over 2.5 Cards74.2%

Under 4.5 Cards65.5%

Over 3.5 Cards54.0%

Under 3.5 Cards46.0%

Over 4.5 Cards34.5%

Under 2.5 Cards25.8%

Over 5.5 Cards19.4%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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