USA · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas

● LIVE 61' · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Houston Dynamo 42.1% Draw 19.0% FC Dallas 38.9%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 8 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Houston Dynamo

W D L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

FC Dallas

W W D W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Houston Dynamo win42.1%

Draw19.0%

FC Dallas win38.9%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.2%

Over 3.5 goals76.3%

Both teams to score86.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

92.0%

Away Over 0.5

92.0%

HT Over 0.5

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.3%

Goal in Both Halves85.3%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Home or Draw (1X)60.4%

Draw or Away (X2)57.3%

Draw No Bet - Home51.9%

Draw No Bet - Away48.1%

Home Win42.4%

Away Win39.3%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals88.9%

Over 3.5 Goals76.1%

4+ Goals76.1%

Over 4.5 Goals59.4%

Under 5.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals41.9%

Under 4.5 Goals40.6%

2-4 Goals37.0%

3-4 Goals29.6%

Under 3.5 Goals23.9%

1-3 Goals23.1%

2-3 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals10.2%

Exactly 2 Goals7.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.7%

Away Team to Score92.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.5%

Home Clean Sheet7.7%

Home Win to Nil7.2%

Away Clean Sheet7.0%

Away Win to Nil6.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.7%

Away Over 0.592.0%

Home Over 1.574.0%

Away Over 1.572.3%

Home Over 2.549.3%

Home 3+ Goals49.3%

Away Over 2.547.0%

Away 3+ Goals47.0%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 119.7%

Home Exactly 118.7%

Away Exactly 07.7%

Home Exactly 07.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 116.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 115.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.9%

Home to win by 3+13.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

Away to win by 3+12.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.3%

Away to win by 211.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.8%

Home & Over 2.539.1%

Away & Over 2.536.2%

Home & BTTS35.3%

Away & BTTS32.8%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Home & No BTTS7.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & No BTTS6.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.4%

HT Over 1.568.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score47.7%

HT Home Win37.0%

HT Away Win35.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.0%

HT Draw28.0%

HT/FT Home/Home27.2%

HT/FT Away/Away25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT Under 0.59.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners71.6%

Over 8.5 Corners64.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners60.5%

Under 10.5 Corners60.4%

Home Most Corners52.4%

Over 9.5 Corners52.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners48.1%

Under 9.5 Corners47.9%

Over 10.5 Corners39.6%

Under 8.5 Corners35.2%

Away Most Corners35.0%

Over 11.5 Corners28.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards80.6%

Over 2.5 Cards74.2%

Under 4.5 Cards65.5%

Over 3.5 Cards54.0%

Under 3.5 Cards46.0%

Over 4.5 Cards34.5%

Under 2.5 Cards25.8%

Over 5.5 Cards19.4%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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