USA · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC

Full time · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

47% confidence

Houston Dynamo 46.8% Draw 15.3% Minnesota United FC 37.9%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 96%

✗ Pick missed (0:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Houston Dynamo win at 46.8%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 6 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Houston Dynamo win

46.8%

1X2 model probability

Draw

15.3%

1X2 model probability

Minnesota United FC win

37.9%

1X2 model probability

Houston Dynamo

D W D L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Minnesota United FC

D D L L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 10:16 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 1

Houston Dynamo 0wins ·1 draws ·Minnesota United FC 0wins

Houston Dynamo 2-2 Minnesota United FCOct 11, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Houston Dynamo win46.8%

Draw15.3%

Minnesota United FC win37.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.1%

Over 3.5 goals94.3%

Both teams to score95.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.9%

BTTS & Over 2.5

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.3%

Goal in Both Halves95.3%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home or Draw (1X)60.0%

Draw No Bet - Home55.3%

Draw or Away (X2)51.3%

Home Win45.4%

Draw No Bet - Away44.7%

Away Win36.7%

Draw14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals94.9%

Over 3.5 Goals91.2%

4+ Goals91.2%

Over 4.5 Goals84.3%

Over 5.5 Goals73.8%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

Total Goals Even48.4%

Under 5.5 Goals26.2%

Under 4.5 Goals15.7%

2-4 Goals12.0%

3-4 Goals10.5%

Under 3.5 Goals8.8%

1-3 Goals5.4%

Under 2.5 Goals5.1%

2-3 Goals5.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 3 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

1-2 Goals1.8%

Exactly 2 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score94.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)92.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)7.7%

Home Clean Sheet2.6%

Home Win to Nil2.5%

Away Clean Sheet1.9%

Away Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 0.594.1%

Home Over 1.587.5%

Away Over 1.584.8%

Home Over 2.572.8%

Home 3+ Goals72.8%

Away Over 2.567.8%

Away 3+ Goals67.8%

Away Exactly 217.0%

Home Exactly 214.7%

Away Exactly 19.4%

Home Exactly 17.4%

Away Exactly 02.6%

Home Exactly 01.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.2%

Home to win by 3+19.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.2%

Home to win by 114.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.7%

Away to win by 3+13.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.591.6%

Home & Over 2.544.8%

Home & BTTS42.9%

Away & Over 2.536.2%

Away & BTTS34.9%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.2%

Home & No BTTS2.5%

Away & No BTTS1.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Draw & Under 2.50.8%

BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.7%

HT Over 1.585.6%

HT Both Teams Score67.1%

2nd Half More Goals53.5%

HT Home Win41.9%

HT Away Win35.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home31.5%

HT/FT Away/Away24.5%

HT Draw22.5%

HT Under 1.514.4%

Equal Goals Each Half14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Home6.1%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%

HT Under 0.53.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners79.1%

Away Most Corners73.9%

Under 10.5 Corners69.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners68.4%

Under 9.5 Corners57.1%

Over 8.5 Corners56.1%

Under 8.5 Corners43.9%

Over 9.5 Corners42.9%

Over 10.5 Corners30.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners24.7%

Over 11.5 Corners20.9%

Home Most Corners16.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards86.4%

Under 4.5 Cards73.5%

Over 2.5 Cards67.0%

Under 3.5 Cards54.7%

Over 3.5 Cards45.3%

Under 2.5 Cards33.0%

Over 4.5 Cards26.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.8%

Over 5.5 Cards13.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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