USA · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake

● LIVE 63' · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

Houston Dynamo 83.2% Draw 13.9% Real Salt Lake 2.9%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 27%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 18.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 11 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

18.6%

Exact-score model probability

Houston Dynamo

D D L W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 5:2 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.33

Real Salt Lake

D L L L D D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Houston Dynamo 0wins ·0 draws ·Real Salt Lake 1wins

Houston Dynamo 0-3 Real Salt LakeMay 14, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Houston Dynamo win83.2%

Draw13.9%

Real Salt Lake win2.9%

Over 1.5 goals76.9%

Over 2.5 goals52.1%

Over 3.5 goals29.9%

Both teams to score26.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.9%

Home Team to Score

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.3%

Draw No Bet - Home95.9%

Home or Away (12)87.4%

Home Win83.8%

Both Halves Over 0.555.6%

Goal in Both Halves55.6%

Exactly 1 Goal17.4%

Draw or Away (X2)16.1%

Draw12.5%

Draw No Bet - Away4.1%

Away Win3.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals93.9%

Over 0.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals85.4%

Over 1.5 Goals76.2%

Under 3.5 Goals70.1%

1-3 Goals63.7%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 2.5 Goals47.9%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals37.5%

Over 3.5 Goals29.9%

4+ Goals29.9%

Exactly 2 Goals24.1%

Under 1.5 Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 0 Goals6.3%

Over 5.5 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)74.2%

Home Clean Sheet71.6%

Home Win to Nil65.3%

Away Team to Score28.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)25.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.8%

Away Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.1%

Away Exactly 071.6%

Home Over 1.569.7%

Home Over 2.543.7%

Home 3+ Goals43.7%

Away Over 0.528.3%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 123.8%

Home Exactly 121.4%

Home Exactly 08.8%

Away Over 1.54.5%

Away Exactly 24.0%

Away Over 2.50.5%

Away 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home61.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.2%

Home to win by 3+37.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw24.2%

Home to win by 224.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.4%

Home to win by 122.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 13.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS65.3%

Home & Over 2.549.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.542.7%

Home & Under 2.534.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.4%

BTTS & Over 2.520.7%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.511.4%

Draw & BTTS6.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & No BTTS2.5%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Away & Over 2.51.1%

Away & BTTS1.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.2%

HT Under 1.564.7%

HT Home Win61.2%

HT/FT Home/Home59.4%

2nd Half More Goals43.7%

HT Over 1.535.3%

HT Draw33.8%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.528.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.8%

HT Both Teams Score9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT Away Win5.0%

HT/FT Away/Away1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners82.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners78.7%

Over 9.5 Corners73.5%

Over 10.5 Corners62.6%

Home Most Corners60.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners58.5%

Over 11.5 Corners51.0%

Under 11.5 Corners49.0%

Under 10.5 Corners37.4%

Away Most Corners28.4%

Under 9.5 Corners26.5%

Under 8.5 Corners17.2%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards79.3%

Over 2.5 Cards75.4%

Under 4.5 Cards63.9%

Over 3.5 Cards55.7%

Under 3.5 Cards44.3%

Over 4.5 Cards36.1%

Under 2.5 Cards24.6%

Over 5.5 Cards20.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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