USA · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes

● LIVE 62' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

Houston Dynamo 91.1% Draw 6.7% San Jose Earthquakes 2.2%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

93%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 10.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 15 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.7%

Exact-score model probability

Houston Dynamo

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 10:2 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.33

San Jose Earthquakes

L L L L D L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 5:18 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

Houston Dynamo win91.1%

Draw6.7%

San Jose Earthquakes win2.2%

Over 1.5 goals94.2%

Over 2.5 goals82.4%

Over 3.5 goals65.3%

Both teams to score46.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

89.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

Home Over 1.5

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home97.3%

Home or Draw (1X)95.7%

Home or Away (12)92.3%

Home Win89.8%

Both Halves Over 0.579.6%

Goal in Both Halves79.6%

Draw or Away (X2)8.4%

Draw5.9%

Exactly 1 Goal5.0%

Draw No Bet - Away2.7%

Away Win2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.0%

Under 5.5 Goals71.9%

Over 3.5 Goals64.1%

4+ Goals64.1%

Under 4.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

2-4 Goals46.9%

Over 4.5 Goals45.2%

Under 3.5 Goals35.9%

3-4 Goals35.8%

1-3 Goals32.9%

Over 5.5 Goals28.1%

2-3 Goals28.0%

Under 2.5 Goals19.0%

Exactly 3 Goals16.8%

1-2 Goals16.1%

Exactly 2 Goals11.2%

Under 1.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.2%

Home Clean Sheet52.5%

Home Win to Nil51.4%

Away Team to Score45.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.8%

Away Clean Sheet2.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.1%

Home Over 2.572.6%

Home 3+ Goals72.6%

Away Exactly 052.5%

Away Over 0.545.7%

Away Exactly 132.9%

Home Exactly 215.5%

Away Over 1.512.9%

Away Exactly 210.3%

Home Exactly 18.0%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Home Exactly 02.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)89.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home77.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away73.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home60.3%

Home to win by 3+60.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)57.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away57.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home41.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)37.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away37.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home24.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 217.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away8.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 11.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.2%

Home & No BTTS51.4%

BTTS & Over 2.542.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.538.9%

Home & BTTS38.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.6%

Home & Under 2.512.6%

Draw & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Draw & Over 2.52.1%

Away & Over 2.51.6%

Away & BTTS1.5%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.9%

HT Home Win74.2%

HT/FT Home/Home72.6%

HT Over 1.560.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.539.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw20.5%

HT Both Teams Score20.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT Under 0.513.1%

HT Away Win5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Away/Away1.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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