USA · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City

● LIVE 63' · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89% confidence

Houston Dynamo 88.8% Draw 8.0% Sporting Kansas City 3.2%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Houston Dynamo: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Houston Dynamo

D L W D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Sporting Kansas City

L W L L L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 1

Houston Dynamo 1wins ·0 draws ·Sporting Kansas City 0wins

Houston Dynamo 2-0 Sporting Kansas CityAug 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Houston Dynamo win88.8%

Draw8.0%

Sporting Kansas City win3.2%

Over 1.5 goals94.5%

Over 2.5 goals83.1%

Over 3.5 goals66.3%

Both teams to score52.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.3%

Under 11.5 Corners

88.8%

Home Win

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.1%

Home or Draw (1X)94.8%

Home or Away (12)91.3%

Home Win87.7%

Both Halves Over 0.580.1%

Goal in Both Halves80.1%

Draw or Away (X2)10.7%

Draw7.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.8%

Draw No Bet - Away3.9%

Away Win3.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.6%

Over 2.5 Goals81.7%

Under 5.5 Goals70.8%

Over 3.5 Goals65.2%

4+ Goals65.2%

Under 4.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Over 4.5 Goals46.4%

2-4 Goals46.2%

3-4 Goals35.3%

Under 3.5 Goals34.8%

1-3 Goals32.1%

Over 5.5 Goals29.2%

2-3 Goals27.4%

Under 2.5 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.5%

1-2 Goals15.6%

Exactly 2 Goals10.9%

Under 1.5 Goals7.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score52.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.7%

Home Clean Sheet45.9%

Home Win to Nil44.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.2%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.7%

Home Over 2.571.5%

Home 3+ Goals71.5%

Away Over 0.552.5%

Away Exactly 045.9%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Away Over 1.517.5%

Home Exactly 216.1%

Away Exactly 213.3%

Home Exactly 18.5%

Away Over 2.54.1%

Away 3+ Goals4.1%

Home Exactly 02.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)87.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away76.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home74.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home56.5%

Home to win by 3+56.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away41.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home37.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away23.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 113.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away10.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 20.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.576.2%

BTTS & Over 2.548.3%

Home & No BTTS44.9%

Home & BTTS42.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.533.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.6%

Home & Under 2.511.5%

Draw & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Away & Over 2.52.5%

Away & BTTS2.4%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.2%

HT Home Win71.6%

HT/FT Home/Home69.5%

HT Over 1.560.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.8%

HT Under 1.539.2%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score23.8%

HT Draw21.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT Under 0.512.8%

HT Away Win6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners88.8%

Under 10.5 Corners81.6%

Under 9.5 Corners71.7%

Home Most Corners63.0%

Under 8.5 Corners59.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners51.0%

Over 8.5 Corners40.7%

Over 9.5 Corners28.3%

Away Most Corners24.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners23.3%

Over 10.5 Corners18.4%

Over 11.5 Corners11.2%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards84.8%

Under 4.5 Cards71.1%

Over 2.5 Cards69.3%

Under 3.5 Cards52.1%

Over 3.5 Cards47.9%

Under 2.5 Cards30.7%

Over 4.5 Cards28.9%

Over 5.5 Cards15.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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