USA · Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Houston Dynamo 40.8% Draw 22.5% St. Louis City 36.7%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 76%

✓ Pick was correct (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Houston Dynamo

D D W D L D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

St. Louis City

L L D W W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Houston Dynamo 0wins ·0 draws ·St. Louis City 1wins

Houston Dynamo 1-2 St. Louis CityAug 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Houston Dynamo win40.8%

Draw22.5%

St. Louis City win36.7%

Over 1.5 goals92.0%

Over 2.5 goals76.6%

Over 3.5 goals57.2%

Both teams to score76.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.4%

Both Halves Over 0.574.6%

Goal in Both Halves74.6%

Home or Draw (1X)62.3%

Draw or Away (X2)58.2%

Draw No Bet - Home52.6%

Draw No Bet - Away47.4%

Home Win41.7%

Away Win37.6%

Draw20.6%

Exactly 1 Goal7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals78.1%

Over 2.5 Goals76.6%

Under 4.5 Goals62.3%

Over 3.5 Goals57.2%

4+ Goals57.2%

2-4 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals42.8%

1-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.7%

2-3 Goals33.8%

Under 2.5 Goals23.4%

Over 5.5 Goals21.9%

1-2 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.4%

Under 1.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.3%

Away Team to Score85.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.0%

Home Clean Sheet14.1%

Away Clean Sheet12.6%

Home Win to Nil12.3%

Away Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.3%

Away Over 0.585.9%

Home Over 1.561.2%

Away Over 1.558.3%

Home Over 2.534.1%

Home 3+ Goals34.1%

Away Over 2.531.3%

Away 3+ Goals31.3%

Away Exactly 127.6%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.1%

Away Exactly 014.1%

Home Exactly 012.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 117.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 212.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 211.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.0%

Home to win by 3+11.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.2%

Away to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.8%

Home & Over 2.534.2%

Away & Over 2.530.7%

Home & BTTS29.4%

Away & BTTS26.8%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.2%

Home & No BTTS12.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.6%

Away & No BTTS10.9%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.57.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Away & Under 2.56.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Over 1.554.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.9%

HT Both Teams Score35.5%

HT Home Win34.9%

HT Draw32.7%

HT Away Win32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home26.0%

HT/FT Away/Away23.1%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners80.1%

Away Most Corners79.5%

Over 8.5 Corners70.3%

Under 11.5 Corners65.8%

Over 9.5 Corners58.3%

Under 10.5 Corners54.1%

Over 10.5 Corners45.9%

Under 9.5 Corners41.7%

Over 11.5 Corners34.2%

Under 8.5 Corners29.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners29.4%

Home Most Corners12.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards81.1%

Under 5.5 Cards72.6%

Over 3.5 Cards63.5%

Under 4.5 Cards55.8%

Over 4.5 Cards44.2%

Under 3.5 Cards36.5%

Over 5.5 Cards27.4%

Under 2.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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