England · Premier League

Hull City vs Everton

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Hull City 38.8% Draw 34.7% Everton 26.5%

Over 2.5 - 20% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 21.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Everton: 6 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

21.9%

Exact-score model probability

Hull City

L D L D W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Everton

W D D D W W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hull City win38.8%

Draw34.7%

Everton win26.5%

Over 1.5 goals57.0%

Over 2.5 goals19.6%

Over 3.5 goals11.9%

Both teams to score27.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

85.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

83.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)79.6%

Draw No Bet - Home68.5%

Home or Away (12)64.7%

Draw or Away (X2)55.7%

Home Win44.3%

Draw35.3%

Exactly 1 Goal33.3%

Draw No Bet - Away31.5%

Both Halves Over 0.528.0%

Goal in Both Halves28.0%

Away Win20.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.5%

Under 4.5 Goals98.1%

Under 3.5 Goals93.2%

Under 2.5 Goals80.4%

Over 0.5 Goals78.1%

1-3 Goals71.3%

1-2 Goals58.5%

Under 1.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even52.4%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

Over 1.5 Goals44.8%

2-4 Goals42.9%

2-3 Goals38.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.2%

Under 0.5 Goals21.9%

Exactly 0 Goals21.9%

Over 2.5 Goals19.6%

3-4 Goals17.6%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Over 3.5 Goals6.8%

4+ Goals6.8%

Over 4.5 Goals1.9%

Over 5.5 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.7%

Home Team to Score61.9%

Home Clean Sheet57.6%

Away Team to Score42.4%

Away Clean Sheet38.1%

Home Win to Nil35.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.3%

Away Win to Nil16.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.561.9%

Away Exactly 057.6%

Away Over 0.542.4%

Home Exactly 038.1%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 131.8%

Home Over 1.525.2%

Home Exactly 217.8%

Away Over 1.510.6%

Away Exactly 28.8%

Home Over 2.57.4%

Home 3+ Goals7.4%

Away Over 2.51.9%

Away 3+ Goals1.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.3%

Home to win by 127.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.8%

Home to win by 3+4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 24.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.568.7%

Home & No BTTS35.7%

Draw & Under 2.533.6%

Home & Under 2.531.4%

Away & No BTTS16.1%

Away & Under 2.515.4%

BTTS & Over 2.514.6%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Home & Over 2.512.9%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

Home & BTTS8.7%

Away & Over 2.55.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.0%

Away & BTTS4.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.585.0%

HT Draw56.1%

HT Under 0.550.5%

HT Over 0.549.5%

2nd Half More Goals36.3%

Equal Goals Each Half36.3%

HT Home Win28.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw28.4%

1st Half More Goals27.4%

HT/FT Home/Home24.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.4%

HT Away Win15.0%

HT Over 1.515.0%

HT/FT Away/Away10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

HT Both Teams Score7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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