England · Premier League

Hull City vs Manchester United

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Hull City 54.4% Draw 33.0% Manchester United 12.6%

Over 2.5 - 25% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 22.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Manchester United: 10 points versus 16 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.25 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

22.4%

Exact-score model probability

Hull City

W W D W

Form 3-1-0 Goals 5:1 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 0.25

Manchester United

W W D W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 12:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Hull City win54.4%

Draw33.0%

Manchester United win12.6%

Over 1.5 goals52.4%

Over 2.5 goals24.6%

Over 3.5 goals9.5%

Both teams to score28.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.7%

Under 3.5 Goals

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.0%

Draw No Bet - Home79.9%

Home or Away (12)69.8%

Home Win55.7%

Draw or Away (X2)44.3%

Both Halves Over 0.532.8%

Goal in Both Halves32.8%

Exactly 1 Goal30.9%

Draw30.2%

Draw No Bet - Away20.1%

Away Win14.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.2%

Under 4.5 Goals97.0%

Under 3.5 Goals90.5%

Over 0.5 Goals81.9%

Under 2.5 Goals75.4%

1-3 Goals72.5%

1-2 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Even51.6%

Over 1.5 Goals51.0%

Under 1.5 Goals49.0%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

2-4 Goals48.0%

2-3 Goals41.5%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Over 2.5 Goals24.6%

3-4 Goals21.6%

Under 0.5 Goals18.1%

Exactly 0 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals15.1%

Over 3.5 Goals9.5%

4+ Goals9.5%

Over 4.5 Goals3.0%

Over 5.5 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.3%

Home Team to Score71.1%

Home Clean Sheet62.5%

Home Win to Nil44.4%

Away Team to Score37.5%

Away Clean Sheet28.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.7%

Away Win to Nil10.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.1%

Away Exactly 062.5%

Away Over 0.537.5%

Home Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 1.535.2%

Away Exactly 129.4%

Home Exactly 028.9%

Home Exactly 222.3%

Home Over 2.513.0%

Home 3+ Goals13.0%

Away Over 1.58.1%

Away Exactly 26.9%

Away Over 2.51.2%

Away 3+ Goals1.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw29.6%

Home to win by 129.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 216.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 111.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.3%

Home to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.564.9%

Home & No BTTS44.4%

Home & Under 2.536.3%

Draw & Under 2.528.6%

Home & Over 2.519.4%

BTTS & Over 2.516.1%

Draw & BTTS12.2%

Home & BTTS11.3%

Away & No BTTS10.8%

Away & Under 2.510.5%

BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Away & Over 2.53.6%

Away & BTTS3.2%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.581.9%

HT Over 0.553.7%

HT Draw51.9%

HT Under 0.546.3%

2nd Half More Goals37.9%

HT Home Win36.5%

Equal Goals Each Half33.7%

HT/FT Home/Home33.0%

1st Half More Goals28.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw24.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.4%

HT Over 1.518.1%

HT Away Win11.5%

HT Both Teams Score8.2%

HT/FT Away/Away7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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