South-Korea · K League 1

Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995

Kick-off 11:30 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Incheon United 37.9% Draw 27.6% Bucheon FC 1995 34.5%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bucheon FC 1995: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

Incheon United

D D D D W W

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Bucheon FC 1995

W W D W D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Incheon United 0wins ·1 draws ·Bucheon FC 1995 0wins

Incheon United 1-1 Bucheon FC 1995Jul 26, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Incheon United win37.9%

Draw27.6%

Bucheon FC 1995 win34.5%

Over 1.5 goals80.6%

Over 2.5 goals56.2%

Over 3.5 goals33.8%

Both teams to score60.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

83.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

83.3%

Under 4.5 Goals

82.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.4%

Home or Draw (1X)64.0%

Draw or Away (X2)60.6%

Both Halves Over 0.558.7%

Goal in Both Halves58.7%

Draw No Bet - Home52.2%

Draw No Bet - Away47.8%

Home Win39.4%

Away Win36.0%

Draw24.6%

Exactly 1 Goal15.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.7%

Under 5.5 Goals92.2%

Under 4.5 Goals82.6%

Over 1.5 Goals79.1%

Under 3.5 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.8%

Over 2.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.3%

Under 2.5 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals38.5%

Over 3.5 Goals33.8%

4+ Goals33.8%

Exactly 2 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.9%

Over 4.5 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals5.3%

Exactly 0 Goals5.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score77.8%

Away Team to Score76.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.8%

Home Clean Sheet23.9%

Away Clean Sheet22.2%

Home Win to Nil18.6%

Away Win to Nil16.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.577.8%

Away Over 0.576.1%

Home Over 1.544.4%

Away Over 1.541.8%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Exactly 133.4%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 023.9%

Home Exactly 022.2%

Home Over 2.519.3%

Home 3+ Goals19.3%

Away Over 2.517.4%

Away 3+ Goals17.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.3%

Away to win by 119.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 210.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.4%

Home to win by 3+7.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.3%

Home & Over 2.525.4%

Away & Over 2.523.0%

Home & BTTS20.8%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & BTTS19.1%

Home & No BTTS18.6%

Away & No BTTS16.9%

Draw & Under 2.516.7%

Home & Under 2.514.0%

Away & Under 2.513.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.3%

HT Under 1.561.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.3%

HT Draw39.6%

HT Over 1.538.1%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Home Win31.2%

HT Away Win29.1%

HT Under 0.526.7%

Equal Goals Each Half24.3%

HT/FT Home/Home23.5%

HT Both Teams Score23.4%

HT/FT Away/Away21.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions