South-Korea · K League 1

Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen

Kick-off 11:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Incheon United 56.7% Draw 22.4% Daejeon Citizen 20.9%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Incheon United

L W D D D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Daejeon Citizen

D L L W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Incheon United 0wins ·1 draws ·Daejeon Citizen 0wins

Incheon United 0-0 Daejeon CitizenMay 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Incheon United win56.7%

Draw22.4%

Daejeon Citizen win20.9%

Over 1.5 goals87.6%

Over 2.5 goals68.0%

Over 3.5 goals46.4%

Both teams to score65.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Home or Draw (1X)78.0%

Draw No Bet - Home72.4%

Both Halves Over 0.567.8%

Goal in Both Halves67.8%

Home Win57.8%

Draw or Away (X2)42.2%

Draw No Bet - Away27.6%

Away Win22.0%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal10.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.4%

Under 5.5 Goals85.7%

Under 4.5 Goals72.5%

Over 2.5 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 3.5 Goals53.6%

1-3 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.4%

4+ Goals46.4%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals32.0%

1-2 Goals29.0%

Over 4.5 Goals27.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.4%

Over 5.5 Goals14.3%

Under 1.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.9%

Away Team to Score72.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.3%

Home Clean Sheet27.2%

Home Win to Nil24.2%

Away Clean Sheet11.0%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.9%

Away Over 0.572.8%

Home Over 1.564.6%

Home Over 2.537.8%

Home 3+ Goals37.8%

Away Over 1.537.4%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 027.2%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.3%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Away Over 2.514.4%

Away 3+ Goals14.4%

Home Exactly 011.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.9%

Home to win by 121.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.6%

Home to win by 3+18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 217.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

Away to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.1%

Home & Over 2.543.9%

Home & BTTS33.6%

Home & No BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.4%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Away & Over 2.515.5%

Home & Under 2.513.9%

Away & BTTS13.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.8%

Draw & Under 2.511.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

Away & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.4%

HT Under 1.553.2%

HT Over 1.546.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Home Win44.3%

HT/FT Home/Home37.6%

HT Draw34.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score27.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Away Win21.2%

HT Under 0.520.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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