South-Korea · K League 1

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC

Full time · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Incheon United 39.4% Draw 23.6% Jeju United FC 37.0%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 73%

✓ Pick was correct (0:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Jeju United FC: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Incheon United

W D L W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Jeju United FC

L W D W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Incheon United 0wins ·1 draws ·Jeju United FC 0wins

Incheon United 3-3 Jeju United FCAug 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Incheon United win39.4%

Draw23.6%

Jeju United FC win37.0%

Over 1.5 goals89.8%

Over 2.5 goals72.1%

Over 3.5 goals51.3%

Both teams to score72.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.5%

Both Halves Over 0.571.0%

Goal in Both Halves71.0%

Home or Draw (1X)62.0%

Draw or Away (X2)59.5%

Draw No Bet - Home51.6%

Draw No Bet - Away48.4%

Home Win40.5%

Away Win38.0%

Draw21.5%

Exactly 1 Goal8.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals88.7%

Under 5.5 Goals82.5%

Over 2.5 Goals72.0%

Under 4.5 Goals68.1%

2-4 Goals56.7%

Over 3.5 Goals51.3%

4+ Goals51.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals48.7%

1-3 Goals46.3%

3-4 Goals40.1%

2-3 Goals37.4%

Over 4.5 Goals31.9%

Under 2.5 Goals28.0%

1-2 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Over 5.5 Goals17.5%

Exactly 2 Goals16.6%

Under 1.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.0%

Away Team to Score84.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.5%

Home Clean Sheet15.9%

Away Clean Sheet15.0%

Home Win to Nil13.6%

Away Win to Nil12.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.0%

Away Over 0.584.0%

Home Over 1.556.6%

Away Over 1.554.8%

Home Over 2.529.6%

Home 3+ Goals29.6%

Away Exactly 129.3%

Home Exactly 128.4%

Away Over 2.527.9%

Away 3+ Goals27.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 015.9%

Home Exactly 015.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.3%

Away to win by 211.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.8%

Home to win by 3+9.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.7%

Away to win by 3+8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.1%

Home & Over 2.531.7%

Away & Over 2.529.6%

Home & BTTS27.0%

Away & BTTS25.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Home & No BTTS13.6%

Away & No BTTS12.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

Draw & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Home & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.4%

HT Over 1.550.1%

HT Under 1.549.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

HT Draw34.3%

HT Home Win33.7%

HT Both Teams Score32.3%

HT Away Win32.1%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT/FT Home/Home24.9%

HT/FT Away/Away23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.1%

HT Under 0.518.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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