South-Korea · K League 1

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Incheon United 49.9% Draw 27.0% Jeonbuk Motors 23.1%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Incheon United: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

Incheon United

D D D W W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Jeonbuk Motors

W L L D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Incheon United 1wins ·0 draws ·Jeonbuk Motors 0wins

Incheon United 1-0 Jeonbuk MotorsJul 18, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Incheon United win49.9%

Draw27.0%

Jeonbuk Motors win23.1%

Over 1.5 goals78.2%

Over 2.5 goals52.9%

Over 3.5 goals30.6%

Both teams to score55.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.9%

Home or Draw (1X)75.4%

Draw No Bet - Home67.7%

Both Halves Over 0.556.1%

Goal in Both Halves56.1%

Home Win51.4%

Draw or Away (X2)48.6%

Draw No Bet - Away32.3%

Away Win24.5%

Draw24.0%

Exactly 1 Goal17.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.9%

Under 5.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals84.9%

Over 1.5 Goals76.7%

Under 3.5 Goals69.4%

1-3 Goals63.2%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.1%

2-3 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals37.8%

Over 3.5 Goals30.6%

4+ Goals30.6%

Exactly 2 Goals23.9%

Under 1.5 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals15.1%

Over 5.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 0 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.7%

Away Team to Score66.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.6%

Home Clean Sheet33.4%

Home Win to Nil27.3%

Away Clean Sheet18.3%

Away Win to Nil12.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.7%

Away Over 0.566.6%

Home Over 1.550.5%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 033.4%

Home Exactly 131.1%

Away Over 1.529.9%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Over 2.524.2%

Home 3+ Goals24.2%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 018.3%

Away Over 2.59.9%

Away 3+ Goals9.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.6%

Home to win by 123.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 115.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.1%

Home to win by 3+12.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 26.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.7%

Home & Over 2.532.2%

Home & No BTTS27.3%

Home & BTTS24.1%

Home & Under 2.519.2%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Draw & Under 2.517.5%

Away & Over 2.514.1%

Away & BTTS12.3%

Away & No BTTS12.2%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Away & Under 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.5%

HT Under 1.564.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.8%

HT Draw40.2%

HT Home Win38.3%

HT Over 1.535.8%

HT/FT Home/Home31.8%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.5%

Equal Goals Each Half25.0%

HT Away Win21.5%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.3%

HT/FT Away/Away13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions