South-Korea · K League 1

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers

Kick-off 08:30 · Fri, Oct 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Incheon United 64.0% Draw 22.3% Pohang Steelers 13.7%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Pohang Steelers: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11%

Exact-score model probability

Incheon United

D L W D D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Pohang Steelers

W D D L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Incheon United 0wins ·0 draws ·Pohang Steelers 1wins

Incheon United 0-1 Pohang SteelersMay 12, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Incheon United win64.0%

Draw22.3%

Pohang Steelers win13.7%

Over 1.5 goals81.4%

Over 2.5 goals57.8%

Over 3.5 goals35.4%

Both teams to score53.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.0%

Draw No Bet - Home81.3%

Home or Away (12)80.2%

Home Win65.2%

Both Halves Over 0.559.9%

Goal in Both Halves59.9%

Draw or Away (X2)34.8%

Draw19.8%

Draw No Bet - Away18.7%

Away Win15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal14.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals81.5%

Over 1.5 Goals80.1%

Under 3.5 Goals64.6%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.7%

Over 2.5 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.8%

Under 2.5 Goals42.2%

3-4 Goals39.2%

1-2 Goals37.3%

Over 3.5 Goals35.4%

4+ Goals35.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.9%

Over 4.5 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.8%

Away Team to Score59.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.0%

Home Clean Sheet40.7%

Home Win to Nil35.8%

Away Clean Sheet12.2%

Away Win to Nil7.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.8%

Home Over 1.562.2%

Away Over 0.559.2%

Away Exactly 040.7%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 2.535.2%

Home 3+ Goals35.2%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.6%

Away Over 1.522.7%

Away Exactly 216.4%

Home Exactly 012.2%

Away Over 2.56.3%

Away 3+ Goals6.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.0%

Home to win by 124.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.4%

Home to win by 3+21.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 219.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.2%

Away to win by 110.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.543.7%

BTTS & Over 2.542.7%

Home & No BTTS35.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.8%

Home & BTTS29.4%

Home & Under 2.521.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.1%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

Draw & Under 2.514.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

Away & Over 2.58.5%

Away & BTTS7.8%

Away & No BTTS7.2%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.1%

HT Under 1.560.8%

HT Home Win47.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT/FT Home/Home42.8%

HT Over 1.539.2%

HT Draw36.8%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.525.9%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT Both Teams Score20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.3%

HT Away Win15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.7%

HT/FT Away/Away8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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