USA · Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew

Full time · 2:2

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

90% confidence

Inter Miami 85.0% Draw 9.0% Columbus Crew 6.0%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 63%

✓ Pick was correct (2:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring teams

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Form gap

85%

Both Teams Score (GG)

Attacking threat

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Inter Miami's strong form and high scoring rate at home, combined with Columbus Crew's struggles on the road, suggest a home win is likely. With Lionel Messi's status uncertain, Inter Miami's attack may still be potent with other players stepping up. Columbus Crew's defense has been leaky, especially away from home. Inter Miami's home advantage and high scoring record make them favorites. 5 Goals is a strong pick given the teams' attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 89.6% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 16 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

89.6%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Inter Miami high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Columbus Crew high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Inter Miami

W W W W D W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 16:8 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Columbus Crew

W L W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter Miami win85.0%

Draw9.0%

Columbus Crew win6.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.6%

Over 2.5 goals89.6%

Over 3.5 goals79.6%

Both teams to score63.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.8%

Home or Away (12)

90.0%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.0%

Home or Draw (1X)92.3%

Home or Away (12)90.0%

Both Halves Over 0.587.5%

Goal in Both Halves87.5%

Home Win86.4%

Draw or Away (X2)9.6%

Draw6.0%

Draw No Bet - Away4.0%

Away Win3.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.5%

Over 3.5 Goals76.4%

4+ Goals76.4%

Over 4.5 Goals61.0%

Under 5.5 Goals56.0%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals44.0%

Under 4.5 Goals39.0%

2-4 Goals32.4%

3-4 Goals26.4%

Under 3.5 Goals23.6%

1-3 Goals19.2%

2-3 Goals17.0%

Under 2.5 Goals12.5%

Exactly 3 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals8.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score62.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.2%

Home Clean Sheet33.5%

Home Win to Nil33.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.562.5%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Away Exactly 033.5%

Away Over 1.527.2%

Away Exactly 218.6%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 2.58.7%

Away 3+ Goals8.7%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)81.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home75.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away68.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home60.4%

Home to win by 3+60.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away52.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)43.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home43.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away35.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home27.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 215.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home14.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 110.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.580.7%

BTTS & Over 2.559.9%

Home & BTTS53.3%

Home & No BTTS33.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & BTTS5.6%

Draw & Over 2.53.7%

Away & Over 2.53.0%

Away & BTTS2.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.7%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.8%

HT Home Win74.2%

HT/FT Home/Home72.0%

HT Over 1.571.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.8%

HT Draw18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Under 0.58.2%

HT Away Win7.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Away/Away2.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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