USA · Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Inter Miami 77.2% Draw 11.0% FC Cincinnati 11.8%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 88.2% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 11.8% on the only losing outcome.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 9 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

88.2%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

11.8%

Only the uncovered result loses

Inter Miami

D D W W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

FC Cincinnati

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:16 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 1

Inter Miami 0wins ·1 draws ·FC Cincinnati 0wins

Inter Miami 0-0 FC CincinnatiMay 14, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter Miami win77.2%

Draw11.0%

FC Cincinnati win11.8%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.6%

Over 3.5 goals88.5%

Both teams to score86.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.1%

Goal in Both Halves92.1%

Draw No Bet - Home86.5%

Home or Away (12)85.8%

Home or Draw (1X)84.4%

Home Win74.2%

Draw or Away (X2)21.7%

Draw No Bet - Away13.5%

Away Win11.5%

Draw10.2%

Exactly 1 Goal1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.8%

Over 2.5 Goals91.7%

Over 3.5 Goals84.9%

4+ Goals84.9%

Over 4.5 Goals73.8%

Over 5.5 Goals59.4%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals40.6%

Under 4.5 Goals26.2%

2-4 Goals21.0%

3-4 Goals17.9%

Under 3.5 Goals15.1%

1-3 Goals10.9%

2-3 Goals9.9%

Under 2.5 Goals8.3%

Exactly 3 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals5.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals4.1%

Exactly 2 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score83.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.7%

Home Clean Sheet12.7%

Home Win to Nil12.5%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 0.583.3%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.557.6%

Away Over 2.531.6%

Away 3+ Goals31.6%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 125.7%

Away Exactly 012.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)87.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away79.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away66.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.5%

Home to win by 3+44.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 113.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 16.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 23.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.0%

Home & Over 2.572.1%

Home & BTTS61.7%

Home & No BTTS12.5%

Away & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

Away & BTTS10.6%

Draw & BTTS10.0%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.7%

HT Over 1.579.1%

HT Home Win63.2%

HT/FT Home/Home58.2%

2nd Half More Goals52.1%

HT Both Teams Score51.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Under 1.520.9%

HT Draw20.7%

HT Away Win16.1%

Equal Goals Each Half15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.8%

HT/FT Away/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home6.1%

HT Under 0.55.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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