USA · Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Inter Miami 69.1% Draw 13.4% Nashville SC 17.5%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-2 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

Inter Miami

D W W L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:11 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Nashville SC

L D W W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Inter Miami 0wins ·0 draws ·Nashville SC 1wins

Inter Miami 1-4 Nashville SCAug 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter Miami win69.1%

Draw13.4%

Nashville SC win17.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.1%

Over 3.5 goals87.5%

Both teams to score88.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.4%

Goal in Both Halves

91.4%

Home Over 1.5

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.4%

Goal in Both Halves91.4%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Home or Draw (1X)80.2%

Draw No Bet - Home79.6%

Home Win67.6%

Draw or Away (X2)29.9%

Draw No Bet - Away20.4%

Away Win17.3%

Draw12.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals92.8%

Over 3.5 Goals85.3%

4+ Goals85.3%

Over 4.5 Goals73.6%

Over 5.5 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even48.8%

Total Goals Odd48.7%

Under 5.5 Goals41.4%

Under 4.5 Goals26.4%

2-4 Goals22.7%

3-4 Goals19.2%

Under 3.5 Goals14.7%

1-3 Goals12.0%

2-3 Goals10.9%

Exactly 3 Goals7.4%

Under 2.5 Goals7.2%

1-2 Goals4.6%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 2 Goals3.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score87.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.1%

Home Clean Sheet10.1%

Home Win to Nil9.9%

Away Clean Sheet1.7%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.589.0%

Away Over 0.587.4%

Home Over 2.575.1%

Home 3+ Goals75.1%

Away Over 1.564.5%

Away Over 2.538.5%

Away 3+ Goals38.5%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 122.9%

Home Exactly 214.0%

Away Exactly 010.1%

Home Exactly 16.8%

Home Exactly 01.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.1%

Home to win by 3+36.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)22.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home22.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 115.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 18.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 24.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.8%

Away to win by 3+3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.3%

Home & Over 2.565.4%

Home & BTTS57.6%

Away & Over 2.516.5%

Away & BTTS15.8%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

Home & No BTTS9.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & Under 2.52.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.3%

HT Over 1.577.9%

HT Home Win56.6%

HT Both Teams Score53.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT/FT Home/Home50.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw22.7%

HT Under 1.522.1%

HT Away Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT/FT Away/Away10.3%

HT/FT Away/Home6.3%

HT Under 0.55.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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