USA · Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs New York City FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Inter Miami 54.5% Draw 17.4% New York City FC 28.1%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 9 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

Inter Miami

D D W W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

New York City FC

W L D D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter Miami win54.5%

Draw17.4%

New York City FC win28.1%

Over 1.5 goals97.8%

Over 2.5 goals91.2%

Over 3.5 goals79.9%

Both teams to score87.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

92.0%

HT Over 0.5

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.3%

Goal in Both Halves87.3%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)71.0%

Draw No Bet - Home65.8%

Home Win54.5%

Draw or Away (X2)44.8%

Draw No Bet - Away34.2%

Away Win28.4%

Draw16.5%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.8%

Over 2.5 Goals90.7%

Over 3.5 Goals79.5%

4+ Goals79.5%

Over 4.5 Goals64.0%

Under 5.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals46.9%

Under 4.5 Goals36.0%

2-4 Goals32.8%

3-4 Goals26.7%

Under 3.5 Goals20.5%

1-3 Goals19.5%

2-3 Goals17.3%

Exactly 3 Goals11.2%

Under 2.5 Goals9.3%

1-2 Goals8.3%

Exactly 2 Goals6.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score89.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.9%

Home Clean Sheet9.5%

Home Win to Nil9.1%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Away Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.581.9%

Away Over 1.567.7%

Home Over 2.560.8%

Home 3+ Goals60.8%

Away Over 2.541.5%

Away 3+ Goals41.5%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Away Exactly 122.3%

Home Exactly 221.1%

Home Exactly 113.3%

Away Exactly 09.5%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.4%

Home to win by 3+22.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 117.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 214.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 112.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 28.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.4%

Away to win by 3+7.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.1%

Home & Over 2.551.3%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Away & Over 2.526.3%

Away & BTTS24.6%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.1%

Home & No BTTS9.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Away & No BTTS3.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.7%

HT Over 1.570.9%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score49.6%

HT Home Win45.5%

HT/FT Home/Home36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.529.1%

HT Away Win28.0%

HT Draw26.5%

HT/FT Away/Away17.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.7%

HT Under 0.58.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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