USA · Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs San Diego

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Sep 21

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Inter Miami 79.8% Draw 11.3% San Diego 8.9%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 9 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Inter Miami

D D W W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

San Diego

L L L W W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter Miami win79.8%

Draw11.3%

San Diego win8.9%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.5%

Over 3.5 goals76.8%

Both teams to score74.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

Draw No Bet - Home

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home89.7%

Home or Draw (1X)89.2%

Home or Away (12)87.8%

Both Halves Over 0.585.7%

Goal in Both Halves85.7%

Home Win78.7%

Draw or Away (X2)19.5%

Draw10.4%

Draw No Bet - Away10.3%

Away Win9.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals87.9%

Over 3.5 Goals75.5%

4+ Goals75.5%

Over 4.5 Goals59.0%

Under 5.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Over 5.5 Goals41.5%

Under 4.5 Goals41.0%

2-4 Goals36.1%

3-4 Goals29.0%

Under 3.5 Goals24.5%

1-3 Goals22.3%

2-3 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals12.5%

Under 2.5 Goals12.1%

1-2 Goals9.8%

Exactly 2 Goals7.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score74.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.2%

Home Clean Sheet23.8%

Home Win to Nil23.3%

Away Clean Sheet2.1%

Away Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.0%

Away Over 0.574.4%

Home Over 2.572.4%

Home 3+ Goals72.4%

Away Over 1.540.6%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Away Exactly 023.8%

Away Over 2.516.7%

Away 3+ Goals16.7%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Home Exactly 18.1%

Home Exactly 02.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away82.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away52.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)45.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home45.8%

Home to win by 3+45.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away34.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 115.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 15.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.573.0%

BTTS & Over 2.570.0%

Home & BTTS55.4%

Home & No BTTS23.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS9.9%

Away & Over 2.57.8%

Away & BTTS7.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Home & Under 2.55.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Away & No BTTS1.6%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.7%

HT Over 1.568.6%

HT Home Win64.0%

HT/FT Home/Home59.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score38.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.4%

HT Draw22.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Away Win13.2%

HT Under 0.59.3%

HT/FT Away/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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