USA · Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Inter Miami 82.2% Draw 9.6% Toronto FC 8.2%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Inter Miami

D L D W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 15:14 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2.33

Toronto FC

D W D L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Inter Miami 1wins ·0 draws ·Toronto FC 0wins

Inter Miami 4-2 Toronto FCMay 9, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter Miami win82.2%

Draw9.6%

Toronto FC win8.2%

Over 1.5 goals98.6%

Over 2.5 goals94.3%

Over 3.5 goals85.7%

Both teams to score80.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

90.7%

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.6%

Goal in Both Halves

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home90.7%

Both Halves Over 0.590.6%

Goal in Both Halves90.6%

Home or Draw (1X)87.8%

Home or Away (12)87.2%

Home Win79.1%

Draw or Away (X2)16.9%

Draw No Bet - Away9.3%

Draw8.8%

Away Win8.1%

Exactly 1 Goal1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals90.5%

Over 3.5 Goals82.3%

4+ Goals82.3%

Over 4.5 Goals69.6%

Over 5.5 Goals54.0%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals46.0%

Under 4.5 Goals30.4%

2-4 Goals24.9%

3-4 Goals20.9%

Under 3.5 Goals17.7%

1-3 Goals13.5%

2-3 Goals12.2%

Under 2.5 Goals9.5%

Exactly 3 Goals8.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

1-2 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 2 Goals4.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score77.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.1%

Home Clean Sheet18.2%

Home Win to Nil18.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.577.8%

Away Over 1.547.5%

Away Exactly 130.2%

Away Exactly 225.2%

Away Over 2.522.4%

Away 3+ Goals22.4%

Away Exactly 018.2%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)79.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away75.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away61.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.2%

Home to win by 3+50.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)45.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away45.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home34.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)29.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away29.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home20.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.0%

Home to win by 113.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.8%

Away to win by 14.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.2%

Away to win by 22.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.576.0%

BTTS & Over 2.575.3%

Home & BTTS61.1%

Home & No BTTS18.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.1%

Draw & BTTS8.6%

Away & Over 2.57.5%

Away & BTTS7.2%

Draw & Over 2.57.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.7%

HT Over 1.576.4%

HT Home Win67.2%

HT/FT Home/Home63.2%

2nd Half More Goals51.5%

HT Both Teams Score45.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.523.6%

HT Draw20.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT Away Win12.8%

HT Under 0.56.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Away4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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