UEFA Europa Conference League

Inter Turku vs Başakşehir

Kick-off 17:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Inter Turku 41.4% Draw 23.9% Başakşehir 34.7%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Başakşehir: 5 points versus 7 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.08 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Inter Turku

D W D

Form 1-2-0 Goals 4:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Başakşehir

D W W L

Form 2-1-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 1.25

Head to head · last 1

Inter Turku 0wins ·1 draws ·Başakşehir 0wins

Inter Turku 1-1 BaşakşehirJul 22, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter Turku win41.4%

Draw23.9%

Başakşehir win34.7%

Over 1.5 goals89.2%

Over 2.5 goals70.9%

Over 3.5 goals49.9%

Both teams to score71.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.3%

Both Halves Over 0.570.0%

Goal in Both Halves70.0%

Home or Draw (1X)64.2%

Draw or Away (X2)57.5%

Draw No Bet - Home54.3%

Draw No Bet - Away45.7%

Home Win42.5%

Away Win35.8%

Draw21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.0%

Under 5.5 Goals83.5%

Over 2.5 Goals70.9%

Under 4.5 Goals69.4%

2-4 Goals57.4%

Under 3.5 Goals50.1%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals49.9%

4+ Goals49.9%

1-3 Goals47.6%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.2%

Over 4.5 Goals30.6%

Under 2.5 Goals29.1%

1-2 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.2%

Over 5.5 Goals16.5%

Under 1.5 Goals12.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.3%

Away Team to Score82.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.5%

Home Clean Sheet17.4%

Home Win to Nil14.8%

Away Clean Sheet14.7%

Away Win to Nil12.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.3%

Away Over 0.582.6%

Home Over 1.557.1%

Away Over 1.552.2%

Away Exactly 130.4%

Home Over 2.530.1%

Home 3+ Goals30.1%

Home Exactly 128.2%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.525.6%

Away 3+ Goals25.6%

Away Exactly 017.4%

Home Exactly 014.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 117.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 212.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.6%

Home to win by 3+10.6%

Away to win by 210.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.7%

Away to win by 3+7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.9%

Home & Over 2.532.9%

Home & BTTS27.7%

Away & Over 2.527.4%

Away & BTTS23.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.5%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Home & No BTTS14.8%

Away & No BTTS12.1%

Draw & Under 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.8%

HT Under 1.550.9%

HT Over 1.549.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

HT Home Win34.8%

HT Draw34.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score31.5%

HT Away Win30.6%

HT/FT Home/Home26.3%

HT/FT Away/Away21.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Inter Turku win45%

Draw45%

Başakşehir win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Inter Turku or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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